May 18, 2023 Ukrainian forces have seized the tactical initiative and made tactically significant gains around Bakhmut in counter-attack operations on May 18. These operations are a continuation of the localized counter-attacks Ukrainian forces have been conducting for some days and do not reflect the start of a major new operation. Multiple Russian milbloggers claimed that…

May 18, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 18.05.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 201100 (+510) persons, tanks ‒ 3773 (+2), APV ‒ 7373 (+8), artillery systems – 3198 (+32), MLRS – 563 (+1), anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 318 (+0), aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical…

May 18, 2023  Last night, the Russian Armed Forces launched group strikes by high-precision long-range sea- and air-based weapons against the enemy’s reserves and full-sized depots storing foreign armament and hardware.  The purpose of the strike has been achieved. All the assigned targets have been engaged.  As a result of the strikes, significant stockpiles of AFU…

May 17, 2023 Russian and Ukrainian officials acknowledged continued limited Ukrainian counterattacks near Bakhmut on May 17. Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar stated that Ukrainian forces are advancing in unspecified areas on Bakhmut’s flanks. Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Serhiy Cherevaty stated that Ukrainian forces advanced up to 500 meters in the Bakhmut direction…

May 17, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 17.05.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 200590 (+610) persons,  tanks ‒ 3771 (+9),  APV ‒ 7365 (+17),  artillery systems – 3166 (+16),  MLRS – 562,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 318 (+2), aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2748…

May 17, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation carried out a long-range sea-based high-precision weapons attack on a large ammunition depot at a ship-repair facility in Nikolayev. ️The goals of the strike have been reached. The assigned target has been neutralised. ️In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group…

May 16, 2023 Russian forces have likely committed to reinforcing their tactical offensive effort in the Bakhmut area despite Ukraine’s apparent focus on limited and localized counterattacks. Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) Head Denis Pushilin claimed on May 16 that Russian forces have strengthened their forces in the Bakhmut area to stabilize the situation, and a prominent…

May 16, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 16.05.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 199980 (+520) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3762 (+3), APV ‒ 7348 (+12), artillery systems – 3150 (+13), MLRS – 562 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 316 (+0),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2732 (+12),cruise missiles ‒ 973…

May 16, 2023  Russian Defense Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation launched a combined attack with long-range precision-guided air- and sea-based weapons against the AFU units, as well as depots of ammunition, weapons and military equipment supplied by Western countries.  The goal of…

May 15, 2023 Leaked US intelligence accessed by The Washington Post indicates that Wagner Group financier Yevgeniy Prigozhin offered to disclose the locations of Russian positions to Ukrainian intelligence in exchange for Bakhmut.[1] The Washington Post reported on May 15 that Prigozhin offered the Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) information about Russian troop positions in exchange for a…

May 15, 2023 personnel ‒ about 199460 (+580) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3759 (+3), APV ‒ 7336 (+11), artillery systems – 3137 (+21), MLRS – 562 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 316 (+2),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2720 (+24),cruise missiles ‒ 973 (+3),warships / boats ‒ 18 (+0),vehicles and fuel tanks – 6034 (+16),special…

May 15, 2023 ️ In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Sinkova and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). ️ In addition, thanks to the coordinated actions of units of the 138th Motorised Rifle Brigade near Dvurechnoye (Kharkov region), actions of three sabotage…

May 14, 2023 Russian forces conducted another series of drone and missile strikes against Ukraine on the night of May 13 to 14. Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces launched an unspecified number of drones of varying models at Ukraine and that Ukrainian forces destroyed 25, including 18 Shahed 131/136s.[1] The Ukrainian General Staff noted that…

May 14, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 14.05.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 198880 (+620) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3756 (+5), APV ‒ 7325 (+18), artillery systems – 3116 (+21), MLRS – 562 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 314 (+0),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2696 (+31),cruise missiles ‒ 970…

May 14, 2023 ️The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have launched a long-range sea- and air-based high-precision weaponry strike against AFU units and the depots of Western munitions in Ternopol and Petropavlovka (Dnepropetrovsk region).  ️The goal of the attack has been reached. All the assigned targets have been neutralised. ️In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by…

May 13, 2023 Ukrainian forces continue to counterattack in the Bakhmut area amid unconfirmed claims of further marginal Ukrainian gains southwest of the city as of May 13. A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces established new positions on the outskirts of Kurdyumivka (14km southwest of Bakhmut) and pushed Russian forces behind the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal…

May 13, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 13.05.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 198260 (+590) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3751 (+6), APV ‒ 7307 (+12),artillery systems – 3095 (+27), MLRS – 561 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 314 (+2),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2665 (+29),cruise missiles ‒ 970…

May 13, 2023 ️On 12 May at around 6.30pm Moscow time, AFU Air Force combat aircraft launched a missile attack on Polipak polymer products company and Milam meat processing plant in Lugansk. The strike was carried out using Storm Shadow missiles supplied to the Kiev regime by the UK, contrary to London’s claims that these…

May 12, 2023 Ukrainian forces have made gains northwest of Bakhmut in localized counterattacks as of May 12. Geolocated footage posted on May 12 shows Russian forces fleeing Ukrainian artillery fire on the southern bank of the Berkhivske Reservoir, about 4km northwest of Bakhmut. This footage visually confirms claims made by a number of Russian milbloggers…

May 12, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 12.05.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 197670 (+750) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3745 (+5), APV ‒ 7295 (+8), artillery systems – 3068 (+15), MLRS – 559 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 312 (+2),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2636 (+9),cruise missiles ‒…

May 12, 2023 In addition, the actions of sabotage and reconnaissance group were suppressed close to Kotlyarovka (Kharkov region). The enemy losses were over 60 Ukrainian servicemen, 1 armoured fighting vehicle, 2 motor vehicles, 2 Grad MLRS, 1 U.S.-manufactured M109 Paladin artillery system, and 1 Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system. ️ In Krasny Liman direction, the attacks, laucnhed by Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, as well as artillery of the Tsentr…

May 11, 2023 Ukrainian forces likely broke through some Russian lines in localized counterattacks near Bakhmut, prompting responses from Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD). Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Commander Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi stated that Russian forces retreated up to two kilometers behind Russian lines in unspecified sectors…

May 11, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 11.05.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 196920 (+610) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3740 (+4), APV ‒ 7287 (+12), artillery systems – 3053 (+14), MLRS – 557 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 310 (+2),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2627 (+3),cruise missiles ‒ 970…

May 11, 2023 In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the AFU units close to Dvurechnaya, Timkovka (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). The actions of 1 Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance group have been disrupted close to Ivanovka (Kharkov region). The enemy…

May 10, 2023 Pervasive issues with Russian combat capability, exacerbated by continued attritional assaults in the Bakhmut area, are likely considerably constraining the ability of Russian forces in this area to defend against localized Ukrainian counterattacks. The 72nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade itself is emblematic of many of the endemic force generation issues constantly faced by…

May 10, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 10.05.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 196310 (+690) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3736 (+2), APV ‒ 7275 (+18), artillery systems – 3039 (+8), MLRS – 555 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 308 (+1), aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0),…

May 10, 2023 In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Timkovka Sinkova, Zagoryukovka, and Tabayevka (Kharkov region). Close to Krakhmalnoye and Timkovka (Kharkov region) and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic) the Russian Armed Forces have prevented infiltration attempts of…

May 9, 2023 Russian President Vladimir Putin declined to use his Victory Day address to make any significant rhetorical changes and reiterated existing narratives, preparing for a protracted war and framing Russia as successfully resisting the entire West. Putin stated in his annual address marking the Soviet victory over Nazi Germany on May 9 that “a…

May 9, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 09.05.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 195620 (+650) persons,  tanks ‒ 3734 (+4),  APV ‒ 7257 (+4),  artillery systems – 3031 (+13),  MLRS – 554,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 307 (+1), aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2618…

May 9, 2023  Last night, the Russian Armed Forces launched a concentrated long-range, sea- and air-launched high-precision attack on temporary enemy reserve areas and ammunition depots. ️ The purpose of the strike has been achieved. All the assigned targets have been engaged.  ️ As a result of the strikes, the movement of reserves as well as the delivery of ammunition…

May 9, 2023 (From remarks posted on the Russian Embassy Facebook Page) The upsurge of Russophobia in the United States on the eve of Great Victory Day celebrations catches the eye. The U.S. authorities not only do not prevent the erasure of everything related to Russia, but they themselves are trying to stir up hysteria…

May 8, 2023 Russian forces conducted another large-scale missile and drone strike against Ukraine on the night of May 7 to 8. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on May 8 that Russian forces launched 16 missiles at Kharkiv, Kherson, Mykolaiv, and Odesa oblasts, and that Ukrainian forces shot down all 35 launched Shahed drones. Kyiv Mayor…

May 8, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 08.05.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 194970 (+540) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3730 (+7), APV ‒ 7253 (+5), artillery systems – 3018 (+8), MLRS – 554 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 306 (+0),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2614 (+42),cruise missiles ‒ 947…

May 8, 2023 ️ In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Novoselovskoye, Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Sinkova (Kharkov region). ️ In addition, Russian troops disrupted actions of two Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups near Sinkovka and Berestovoye (Kharkov region)….

May 7, 2023 Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov may have compelled the Russian theater commander in Ukraine, Army General Valery Gerasimov, to resume artillery ammunition distribution to the Wagner forces in Bakhmut despite Gerasimov’s desired de-prioritization of that effort. Prigozhin announced on May 7 that he had obtained a document from…

May 7, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 07.05.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 194430 (+660) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3723 (+6), APV ‒ 7248 (+10), artillery systems – 3010 (+18), MLRS – 554 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 306 (+0),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2572 (+18),cruise missiles ‒ 947…

May 7, 2023 ️ In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Tabayevka, Timkovka, Pershotravnevoye, Novomlynsk, and Dvurechnaya (Kharkov region). ️ In addition, Russian troops disrupted actions of four Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups near Sinkovka, Kislovka (Kharkov region)…

May 6, 2023 Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov stated their intent on May 6 for Chechen “Akhmat” troops to replace Wagner Group forces in Bakhmut on May 10. Prigozhin published a letter to Russian Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu on May 6 declaring that Wagner will hand over its positions…

May 6, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 06.05.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 193770 (+560) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3717 (+7), APV ‒ 7238 (+14), artillery systems – 2992 (+14), MLRS – 552 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 306 (+2),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2554 (+14),cruise missiles ‒…

May 6, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. ️In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the AFU units close to Kislovka and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). The AFU losses were up to 50 Ukrainian servicemen, 2 armoured fighting…

May 5, 2023 The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) appears to have deprioritized the Bakhmut offensive in favor of preparing to defend against an anticipated Ukrainian counteroffensive, putting the Wagner Group and Wagner financier Yevgeny Prigozhin in a potentially difficult position. Prigozhin released a series of videos on May 4 and 5 announcing that Wagner will…

May 5, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 05.05.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 193210 (+620) persons,  tanks ‒ 3710 (+3),  APV ‒ 7224 (+8),  artillery systems – 2978 (+16),  MLRS – 550 (+3),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 304 (+0), aircraft – 308 (+0),  helicopters – 294 (+0),  UAV operational-tactical…

May 5, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. ️In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the AFU units near Dvurechnaya, Ivanovka and Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region). The actions of three Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance…

May 4, 2023 Russia conducted another Shahed-131/136 strike against Ukraine on May 4. Ukrainian military sources reported that Russian forces launched 24 Shahed-131/136s at Ukraine from the direction of Bryansk Oblast and the eastern coast of the Sea of Azov and that Ukrainian air defense destroyed 18 of the drones above northern, central, and southern regions…

May 4, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 04.05.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 192590 (+650) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3707 (+5), APV ‒ 7216 (+17), artillery systems – 2962 (+16), MLRS – 547 (+3), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 304 (+4),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2523 (+18),cruise missiles ‒ 947…

May 4, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Novoselovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Pershotravnevoye and Novomlynsk (Kharkov region). ️ In addition, actions of six sabotage…

May 3, 2023 Russia accused Ukraine of conducting a drone strike against the Kremlin on May 3. Social media footage circulated on May 3 shows a drone detonating near a flagpole on top of the Kremlin Senate Palace building in Moscow as two unidentified people climbed up the dome of the building.[1] The Kremlin accused Ukraine…

May 3, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 03.05.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 191940 (+520) persons,  tanks ‒ 3702 (+1),  APV ‒ 7199 (+6),  artillery systems – 2946 (+16),  MLRS – 544,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 300 (+2), aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2505…

May 3, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Kamenka (Kharkov region). ️ Up to 40 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, and one D-30 howitzer were destroyed.  In Krasny Liman direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the…

May 3, 2023 Statement by the Russian President’s Office: 14:35 Last night, the Kiev regime attempted a drone strike against the residence of the President of the Russian Federation at the Kremlin. Two unmanned aerial vehicles targeted the Kremlin. Timely action by the military and special services involving radar systems enabled them to disable the devices. They crashed in the Kremlin grounds, scattering fragments without causing any casualties or damage. We view these…

May 2, 2023 Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu claimed that the Russian defense industrial base (DIB) is increasing its production of precision missiles for use against Ukraine. Shoigu highlighted the state-owned Tactical Missiles Corporation as a model defense enterprise, stating that is successfully beginning mass production of missiles and will develop plans to double its current…

May 2, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 02.05.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 191420 (+460) persons,  tanks ‒ 3701 (+1),  APV ‒ 7193 (+1),  artillery systems – 2930 (+9),  MLRS – 544,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 298 (+3), aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2477…

May 2, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. ️ In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Novoselovskoye,  engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Novoselovskoye, Stelmakhovka (Lugansk…

May 1, 2023 Russian forces conducted another large-scale missile strike against Ukraine on the night of April 30 to May 1. Ukrainian sources reported that nine Tu-95 and two Tu-160 strategic bombers took off from Murmansk Oblast and near the Caspian Sea and launched 18 Kh-101/555 cruise missiles at Ukraine.[1] Ukrainian air defense shot down 15 of…

May 1, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 01.05.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 190960 (+450) persons,  tanks ‒ 3700 (+1),  APV ‒ 7192 (+3),  artillery systems – 2921 (+7),  MLRS – 544,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 295, aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2476 (+1),…

May 1, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation launched a long-range high-precision air and sea-based missile strike against Ukrainian military-industrial complex facilities. The goal of the attack has been reached. All the assigned targets have been neutralised. The enterprises producing ammunition, weapons and military equipment for Ukrainian forces have been disrupted. ️In Kupyansk direction,…

April 30, 2023 Key inflections in ongoing military operations on April 30: (For full report:  https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-30-2023#_edn56)

April 30, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 30.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 190510 (+470) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3699 (+2), APV ‒ 7189 (+5), artillery systems – 2914 (+6), MLRS – 544 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 295 (+1),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2475 (+4),cruise missiles ‒…

April 30, 2023 Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Sinkovka, Kislovka, Kamenka, Masyutovka (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s…

April 29, 2023 Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin threatened to withdraw Wagner forces from Bakhmut if the Russian military command fails to provide more ammunition to the Wagner mercenaries. Prigozhin stated in an interview with a Kremlin-affiliated milblogger on April 29 that the Wagner mercenaries will continue to fight in Bakhmut but will need to “withdraw…

April 29, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 29.04.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 190040 (+580) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3697 (+3), APV ‒ 7184 (+3), artillery systems – 2908 (+3), MLRS – 543 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 294 (+0),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 294 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2471 (+4),cruise missiles ‒ 932…

April 29, 2023 In the evening of 28 April 2023, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation launched a naval long-range precision-guided strike on the location of the command post of the Kherson combined force grouping of AFU.   The purpose of the strike has been achieved.  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of…

April 28, 2023 Russian forces launched a series of missile strikes against rear areas of Ukraine on the night of April 27. Ukrainian military sources confirmed that Russian forces launched 23 Kh-101/Kh-555 missiles from Tu-95 aircraft over the Caspian Sea and struck civilian infrastructure in Uman, Cherkasy Oblast; Dnipro City; and Ukrainka, Kyiv Oblast. The Ukrainian Air…

April 28, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 28.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 189460 (+540) persons,  tanks ‒ 3694,  APV ‒ 7181 (+3),  artillery systems – 2905 (+18),  MLRS – 543 (+1),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 294 (+1), aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2467…

April 28, 2023 Russian Aerospace Forces launched a high-precision long-range airbased missile strike against temporary deployment points of AFU reserves.  The goal of the attack has been reached. All the assigned targets have been neutralised. The movement of the enemy reserves into the combat areas has been prevented.  ️In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation,…

April 27, 2023 The Russian military command appears to be reshuffling the leadership of command organs associated with force generation, sustainment, and logistics. Several prominent Russian milbloggers claimed on April 27 that Colonel General Aleksey Kuzmenkov, Deputy Head of the Russian National Guard (Rosgvardia), has replaced Colonel General Mikhail Mizintsev as Deputy Defense Minister of the…

April 27, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 27.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 188920 (+510) persons,  tanks ‒ 3694 (+2),  APV ‒ 7178 (+16),  artillery systems – 2887 (+10),  MLRS – 542 (+3),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 293 (+1), aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level –…

April 27, 2023 Last night a concentrated strike by long-range, sea-based high-precision weapons has been launched against the enemy reserves’ deployment points. The goal of the attack has been reached. All the assigned targets have been neutralised. The movement of the AFU marines into the combat areas is forbidden. ️In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation,…

April 26, 2023 Russia appears to be continuing a deliberate depopulation campaign in occupied areas of Ukraine in order to facilitate the repopulation of Ukrainian territories with Russians. Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar stated on April 26 that Russia is trying to change the ethnic composition of Ukraine by actively conducting a large-scale resettlement of…

April 26, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 26.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 188410 (+640) persons,  tanks ‒ 3692 (+4),  APV ‒ 7162 (+11),  artillery systems – 2877 (+14),  MLRS – 539,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 292 (+1), aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2440…

April 26, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. ️ In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on mapower and military hardware of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Dvurechnaya, Timkovka, Kislovka, and Kamenka (Kharkov region).  More than 40 Ukrainian servicemen, one armoured fighting…

April 25, 2023 Senior US and EU officials assess that Russian President Vladimir Putin would remain unwilling to negotiate in response to a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive. The New York Times (NYT) reported on April 24 that a senior European official stated that the chances of Putin “backing down” in response to a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive are “less than…

April 25, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 25.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 187770 (+690) persons,  tanks ‒ 3688 (+5),  APV ‒ 7151 (+12),  artillery systems – 2863 (+14),  MLRS – 539,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 291 (+2), aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2437…

April 25, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on manpower and military hardware of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Dvurechnaya and Sinkovka (Kharkov region). ️ In addition, actions of four sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were thwarted…

April 24, 2023 Russian milbloggers speculated that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered additional military command changes on April 20. A prominent Russian milblogger claimed that Putin signed a decree on April 20 about a series of military command changes and formally dismissed Commander of the Eastern Military District Colonel General Rustam Muradov. The milblogger noted that Muradov’s…

April 24, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 24.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 187080 (+660) persons,  tanks ‒ 3683 (+8),  APV ‒ 7139 (+8),  artillery systems – 2849 (+12),  MLRS – 539,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 289, aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 294,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2413 (+11),…

April 24, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Sinkovka, Artyomovka, Ivanovka, and Figolevka (Kharkov region). ️ In addition, actions of two sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were thwarted near Novoselovskoye…

April 23, 2023 ISW is publishing a special edition campaign assessment today, April 23. This report outlines the current Russian order of battle (ORBAT) in Ukraine, assesses the offensive and defensive capabilities of Russian force groupings along the front, and discusses major factors that may complicate Russian defensive operations in the event of a Ukrainian…

April 23, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 23.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 186420 (+690) persons were liquidated,  tanks ‒ 3675 (+3),  APV ‒ 7131 (+1),  artillery systems – 2837 (+5), MLRS – 539 (+0),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 289 (+0), aircraft – 308 (+0),  helicopters – 294 (+1), …

April 23, 2023 ️In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, as well as artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Dvurechnaya, Pershotravnevoye, Zagoruykovka and Kotlyarovka (Kharkov region).  Four Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups have been thwarted near Berestovoye, Kislovka and…

April 22, 2023 Russian milbloggers have provided enough geolocated footage and textual reports to confirm that Ukrainian forces have established positions in east (left) bank Kherson Oblast as of April 22 though not at what scale or with what intentions. Geolocated footage published by a Russian milblogger on April 22 shows that Ukrainian forces have established…

April 22, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 22.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 185730 (+680) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3672 (+4), APV ‒ 7130 (+4), artillery systems – 2832 (+5), MLRS – 539 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 289 (+4),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 293 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2398 (+4),cruise missiles ‒…

April 22, 2023 ️ In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Figolevka, Dvurechye (Kharkov region), and Novoselovskoye and Rozovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ In addition, actions of two sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces…

April 21, 2023 Russian forces used a new delivery of Shahed drones to strike Ukraine for the third consecutive day, targeting Kyiv for the first time in 25 days. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces launched 26 drones on April 20, of which Ukrainian forces shot down 21 and 12 drones on April 21,…

April 21, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 21.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 185050 (+630) persons,  tanks ‒ 3668 (+1),  APV ‒ 7126 (+6),  artillery systems – 2827 (+2),  MLRS – 539,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 285, aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 293,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2394 (+8), cruise missiles ‒ 911, warships / boats ‒ 18, vehicles and fuel tanks – 5713 (+6), special equipment ‒ 334 (+2). Operational information as of 18.00 Glory to Ukraine! The four hundred and twenty-second day of large-scale…

April 21, 2023 Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Sinkovka, Timkovka, and Pershotravnevoye (Kharkov region).  In addition, actions of four sabotage…

April 21, 2023 April 19 marks the 240th anniversary of incorporating Crimea into the Russian Empire. The Manifesto of Empress Catherine the Great noted the “fortunate conversion of insurrection and discord into peace, tranquillity, law and order.” Her words remain topical to this day. In March 2014, the people of Crimea made a conscious choice…

April 20, 2023 The Kremlin demoted the commander of the Russian Pacific Fleet on April 19 amid an ongoing surprise readiness check that began on April 14. Russian Deputy Prime Minister and Presidential Envoy to the Far Eastern Federal District Yury Trutnev announced on April 19 the “appointment” of Russian Pacific Fleet Commander Admiral Sergei…

April 20, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 20.04.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 184420 (+670) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3667 (+2), APV ‒ 7120 (+10), artillery systems – 2825 (+6), MLRS – 539 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 285 (+0),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 293 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2386 (+10),cruise missiles ‒ 911…

April 20, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. ️ In Kupyansk direction, Ground-Attack and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Masyutovka, Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region), Novoselovka and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). Actions of…

April 19, 2023 The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) appears to be conducting a large-scale overhaul of domestic security organs. Russian state-controlled outlet TASS reported on April 19 that the FSB and the Main Directorate of the Security Service of the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) have been conducting mass checks at the Moscow Central District Internal Affairs…

April 19, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 19.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 183750 (+620) persons, tanks ‒ 3665 (+4),  APV ‒ 7110 (+12),  artillery systems – 2819 (+9),  MLRS – 538 (+0),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 285 (+0), aircraft – 308 (+0),  helicopters – 293 (+0),  UAV operational-tactical…

April 19, 2023 ️ In Kupyansk direction, Ground-Attack and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Novoselovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Kotlyarovka, Zagoruikovka, Ivanovka, and Pershotravnevoye (Kharkov region). An ammunition depot of the 3rd Tank Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces has…

April 18, 2023 Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to portray himself as a wartime leader in anticipation of a planned Ukrainian counteroffensive during his visit to occupied Kherson and Luhansk oblasts. The Kremlin announced on April 18 that Putin visited the headquarters of the Russian Dnepr Group of Forces in Kherson Oblast and the Vostok National…

April 18, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 18.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 183130 (+470) persons,  tanks ‒ 3661 (+1),  APV ‒ 7098 (+11),  artillery systems – 2810 (+6),  MLRS – 538,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 285, aircraft – 308,  helicopters – 293,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2353 (+6),…

April 18, 2023 ️ In Kupyansk direction, Ground-Attack and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Krakhmalnoye, Olshana, Kucherovka, and Dvurechnaya (Kharkov region).  In addition, actions of two sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were thwarted near Sinkovka…

April 17, 2023 Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is seemingly regaining some favor with Russian President Vladimir Putin, likely as a result of the Russian conventional military’s inability to accomplish the tasks Putin had set for it during the winter offensive in Donbas. Wagner forces appear to be receiving reinforcements, ammunition, and political recognition – which…

April 17, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 17.04.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 182660 (+590) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3660 (+3), APV ‒ 7087 (+4), artillery systems – 2804 (+9), MLRS – 538 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 285 (+1),aircraft – 308 (+0), helicopters – 293 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2347 (+8),cruise missiles ‒ 911…

April 17, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, Ground-Attack and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Dvurechnaya, Timkovka, Tabayevka, and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). ️ In addition, actions of three sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were thwarted near Sinkovka and Kislovka…

April 16, 2023 The Russian military command appears to be increasingly shifting responsibility for offensive operations in Ukraine to the Russian Airborne troops (VDV). The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense (UK MoD) reported on April 16 that it is highly likely that VDV commander Colonel General Mikhail Teplinsky has returned to a “major” but unspecified role…

April 16, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 16.04.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 182070 (+520) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3657 (+4), APV ‒ 7083 (+10), artillery systems – 2795 (+10), MLRS – 538 (+3), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 284 (+1),aircraft – 308 (+1), helicopters – 293 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2339 (+0),cruise missiles ‒ 911…

April 16, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. ️In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the AFU units near Dvurechnaya, Sinkovka, Timkovka (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). In addition, the actions of 3 Ukrainian sabotage…

April 15, 2023 Reporting from some Western sources that Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin called for Russia to end its war against Ukraine is inaccurate.[1] Some Western reports covering Prigozhin’s April 14 essay on a potential Ukrainian counteroffensive and the future of the war miscontextualized a rhetorical statement in which Prigozhin established a strawman argument he…

April 15, 2023 personnel ‒ about 181550 (+460) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3653 (+3), APV ‒ 7073 (+4), artillery systems – 2785 (+1), MLRS – 535 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 283 (+0),aircraft – 307 (+0), helicopters – 293 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2339 (+0),cruise missiles ‒ 911 (+0),warships / boats ‒ 18 (+0),vehicles and fuel tanks – 5646 (+6),special…

April 15, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Timkovka (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic).   Up to 40 Ukrainian troops, one armoured personnel carrier, and two motor vehicles have been neutralised.  In Krasny Liman direction, ground-attack aircraft and artillery…

April 14, 2023 The Kremlin is likely attempting to portray Russia as an equal defense partner with China ahead of Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu’s visit to Moscow from April 16 to 18. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced on April 14 that Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu will meet with Li to discuss bilateral…

April 14, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 14.04.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 181090 (+500) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3650 (+4), APV ‒ 7069 (+16), artillery systems – 2784 (+7), MLRS – 535 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 283 (+0),aircraft – 307 (+0), helicopters – 293 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2339 (+0),cruise missiles ‒ 911…

April 14, 2023 ️ In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Ivanovka and Dvurechnoye (Kharkov region).   ️ Moreover, actions of five sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the AFU were disrupted close to Olshana, Krakhamalnoye, and Timkovka (Kharkov region). …

April 13, 2023 A senior Ukrainian official warned that Russia can reconstitute itself as a serious threat to Ukraine in the long run despite facing severe force generation problems at this time. Deputy Chief of the Main Operational Directorate of the Ukrainian General Staff Brigadier General Oleksiy Hromov stated on April 13 that Russian crypto-mobilization efforts…

April 13, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 13.04.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 180590 (+540) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3646 (+0), APV ‒ 7053 (+10), artillery systems – 2777 (+7), MLRS – 535 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 283 (+1),aircraft – 307 (+0), helicopters – 293 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2339 (+5),cruise missiles ‒ 911…

April 13, 2023 ️ In Kupyansk direction, aviation, artillery, and heavy flamethrower systems of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Dvurechnaya, Sinkova, and Timkovka (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovksoye (Lugansk People’s Republic).   The enemy’s losses in this direction during the day amounted to over 35 Ukrainian troops, two motor…

April 12, 2023 The Kremlin’s campaign of “Russification” in Ukraine is burning back into Russia itself as it continues to empower and amplify overtly nationalist voices and ideologies. Russia is engaged in a campaign of deliberate “Russification” within Ukraine aimed at the destruction of Ukrainian identity through a multitude of military, social, economic, legal, bureaucratic, and…

April 12, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 12.04.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 180050 (+730) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3646 (+2), APV ‒ 7043 (+5), artillery systems – 2770 (+5), MLRS – 535 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 282 (+0),aircraft – 307 (+0), helicopters – 293 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2334 (+2),cruise missiles ‒ 911…

April 12, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Pershotravnevoye and Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ In addition, actions of three sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were thwarted…

April 11, 2023 The Kremlin passed legislation to use tools of digital authoritarianism to digitize and improve the effectiveness of issuing summonses and crack down on Russian draft dodgers. The Russian State Duma adopted a bill in its third reading on April 11 to create a digital unified register of Russian citizens eligible for military service.[1] Russian…

April 11, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 11.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 179320 (+500) persons were liquidated,  tanks ‒ 3644 (+7), APV ‒ 7038 (+10), artillery systems – 2765 (+15), MLRS – 535 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 282 (+0),aircraft – 307 (+0), helicopters – 293 (+1), UAV operational-tactical level – 2332 (+9),cruise missiles…

April 11, 2023 ️ In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Sinkova and Kislovka (Kharkov region). The enemy’s losses in this direction during the day amounted to 30 Ukrainian troops, three tanks, two motor vehicles, and one Polish-made Krab self-propelled artillery system. ️ In Krasny…

April 10, 2023 Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is reportedly advancing his political aspirations by seeking to gain control of a Russian political party. Russian opposition outlet Meduza reported that Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin’s growing cooperation with members of the A Just Russia — For Truth party likely indicates that Prigozhin seeks to gain control over the…

April 10, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 10.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 178820 (+670) persons,  tanks ‒ 3637 (+1),  APV ‒ 7028 (+4),  artillery systems – 2750 (+10),  MLRS – 534 (+1),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 282, aircraft – 307,  helicopters – 292,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2323…

April 10, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Rozovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Timkovka, Sinkovka, Krakhmalnoye, and Pershotravnevoye (Kharkov region).   More than 30 Ukrainian servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery gun, and one D-20 howitzer have been…

April 9, 2023 ISW is publishing a special edition campaign assessment today, April 9. This report discusses Russia’s religious repressions throughout occupied Ukraine since the start of the Russian full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Russia continues to weaponize religion in an effort to discredit Ukraine in the international arena and is using…

April 9, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 09.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 178150 (+470) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3636 (+0), APV ‒ 7024 (+4), artillery systems – 2740 (+13), MLRS – 533 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 282 (+0), aircraft – 307 (+0), helicopters – 292 (+0),…

April 9, 2023 The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Olshana, Timkovka, Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic).  In…

April 8, 2023 Ukrainian and Russian sources discussed the decreased rate of Russian offensive operations along the entire frontline on April 8, supporting ISW’s assessment that the overall Russian offensive is approaching culmination. Council of Reservists of the Ukrainian Ground Forces Head Ivan Tymochko reported on April 8 that Russian forces are fighting along the entire…

April 8, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 08.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 177680 (+570) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3636 (+3), APV ‒ 7020 (+4), artillery systems – 2727 (+5), MLRS – 533 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 282 (+1), aircraft – 307 (+1), helicopters – 292 (+0),…

April 8, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Grigorovka, Sinkovka, Peschanoye (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic).   The enemy suffered losses of up to 30 Ukrainian troops, two motor vehicles, and one D-20 howitzer. ️ In…

April 7, 2023 Russian milbloggers responded with speculative anxiety to reportedly leaked (and possibly altered) classified US military documents about the war in Ukraine, indicating continued fear over the prospect of future Ukrainian counteroffensives in the Russian information space. The New York Times reported on April 6 that a slate of five-week-old, classified US military documents are circulating…

April 7, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 07.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 177110 (+480) persons,  tanks ‒ 3633 (+2),  APV ‒ 7016 (+3),  artillery systems – 2722 (+8),  MLRS – 533 (+1),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 281, aircraft – 306,  helicopters – 292,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2291…

April 7, 2023 In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Sinkova and Kislovka (Kharkov region). During the day, up to 30 Ukrainian servicemen, two motor vehicles, and one D-30 howitzers have been neutralised. In Krasny Liman direction, the ground-attack aircraft, artillery, and units of…

April 6, 2023 Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in Moscow on April 5 and 6 to discuss further Union State integration, with Putin likely focused on strengthening Russian economic control over Belarus. Putin and Lukashenko held a one-on-one meeting on April 5 and attended a meeting of the Supreme State Council…

April 6, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 06.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 176630 (+390) persons,  tanks ‒ 3631 (+2),  APV ‒ 7013 (+8),  artillery systems – 2714 (+7),  MLRS – 532,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 281 (+1), aircraft – 306,  helicopters – 292 (+1),  UAV operational-tactical level –…

April 6, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, Ground-Attack and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on manpower and military hardware of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Dvurechnaya, Peschanoye, and Masyutovka (Kharkov region). In addition, actions of three sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were thwarted near…

April 5, 2023 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that Ukrainian forces will withdraw from Bakhmut to avoid encirclement if necessary, but do not yet assess the need to do so. Zelensky stated during a press conference in Poland on April 5 that Ukrainian troops face a very challenging situation in Bakhmut, and that Kyiv will make…

April 5, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 05.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 176240 (+550) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3629 (+2), APV ‒ 7005 (+6), artillery systems – 2707 (+10), MLRS – 532 (+4), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 280 (+0), aircraft – 306 (+0), helicopters – 291 (+0),…

April 5, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Gryanikovka, Timkovka (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). Also during the day, actions of five Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups were foiled close to…

April 4, 2023 The Kremlin will likely attempt to coerce Belarus into further Union State integration when Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko meet in Moscow on April 5 and 6. The Kremlin announced on April 4 that Putin and Lukashenko will meet for private bilateral discussions on April 5 and attend a…

April 4, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 04.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 175690 (+530)  persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3627 (+8), APV ‒ 6999 (+6), artillery systems – 2697 (+3), MLRS – 528 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 280 (+0), aircraft – 306 (+0), helicopters – 291 (+0),…

April 4, 2023  In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Dvurechnaya, Sinkovka, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ Up to 30 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, one motor vehicle, and one D-20 howitzer were destroyed.  In Krasny Liman direction, aviation, artillery,…

April 4, 2023 On April 4, 2023, it was officially declared that all the legal procedures related to Finland becoming a #NATO member were completed.  As we have warned on multiple occasions, the Russian Federation will have to respond with military-technical, as well as other measures in order to address national security threats arising from Finland joining NATO….

April 3, 2023 Wagner Group fighters made further advances in central Bakhmut and seized the Bakhmut City Administration Building on the night of April 2. Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin raised a Russian flag with an inscription in memory of assassinated milblogger Maksim Fomin across from the Bakhmut City Administration building the night of April 2…

April 3, 2023 General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 03.04.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 175160 (+610) persons,  tanks ‒ 3619 (+1),  APV ‒ 6993 (+7),  artillery systems – 2694 (+7),  MLRS – 527,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 280 (+1), aircraft – 306, …

April 3, 2023 ️  In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Sinkovka (Kharkov region), and Artyomovka (Lugansk People’s Republic).  Up to 75 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, two motor vehicles, and one D-30 howitzer were destroyed. ️ In Krasny Liman direction, the ground-attack aircraft, artillery and units…

April 2, 2023 Maksim Fomin was one of the most significant Russian milbloggers with a Telegram platform of 560,000 followers and deep connections with the Wagner Group, the Kremlin, the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR), and the Russian nationalists who have been dominating the Russian information space since the start of the Russian full-scale invasion of…

April 2, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 02.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 174550 (+560) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3618 (+2), APV ‒ 6986 (+5), artillery systems – 2687 (+4), MLRS – 527 (+0),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 279 (+0), aircraft – 306 (+0), helicopters – 291 (+0),…

April 2, 2023 ️In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Sinkova, Olshany, and Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region). ️ The enemy suffered losses of up to 30 Ukrainian troops, three armoured fighting vehicles, two motor vehicles, and one D-30 howitzer. In addition, Russian troops disrupted actions of six Ukrainian sabotage and…

April 1, 2023 Russian, Ukrainian, and Western sources observed on April 1 that the Russian winter offensive has failed to achieve the Kremlin’s goals of seizing the Donetsk and Luhansk oblast administrative borders by March 31. Chief of the Russian General Staff Valery Gerasimov had announced on December 22 that Russian forces were focusing most of…

April 1, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 01.04.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 173990 (+630) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3616 (+1), APV ‒ 6981 (+4), artillery systems – 2683 (+8), MLRS – 527 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 279 (+1), aircraft – 306 (+0), helicopters – 291 (+0),…

April 1, 2023 Russian Defense Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation  (1 April 2023) The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralization of AFU manpower and hardware near…

March 31, 2023 Russian President Vladimir Putin approved a new Russian Foreign Policy Concept on March 31 that likely aims to support the Kremlin’s attempts to promote a potential anti-Western coalition. The new Foreign Policy Concept paints the West as an anti-Russian and internationally destabilizing force to a far greater extent than Russia’s previous 2016 Foreign…

March 31, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 31.03.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 173360 (+460) persons,  tanks ‒ 3615 (+5),  APV ‒ 6977 (+3),  artillery systems – 2675 (+4),  MLRS – 526,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 278, aircraft – 306,  helicopters – 291,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2248 (+9),…

March 31, 2023 Russian Defense Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (31 March 2023)  The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Sinkova and Berestovoye…

March 30, 2023 Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree on March 30 authorizing Russia’s semiannual spring conscription which will induct 147,000 Russians between April 1 and July 15. Russia conducts two conscription cycles per year with the spring conscription cycle usually conscripting 134,000 Russian men. Russia may use Belarus’ training capacity to support the increase of…

March 30, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 30.03.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 172900 (+560) persons,  tanks ‒ 3610 (+1),  APV ‒ 6974 (+8),  artillery systems – 2671 (+12),  MLRS – 526,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 278 (+1), aircraft – 306,  helicopters – 291,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2239,…

March 30, 2023 Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (30 March 2023)  The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. ️ In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery fire of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on enemy manpower and equipment near Gryanikovka, Sinkovka (Kharkov region), and…

March 29, 2023 Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Moscow on March 29 to review strategic and long-term cooperation agreements that will likely intensify Russia’s and Iran’s bilateral security relationship. Abdollahian stated that Russian and Iranian officials are in the final stage of signing a cooperation agreement. Lavrov…

March 29, 2023 The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 28.03.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 172340 (+610) persons,  tanks ‒ 3609 (+7),  APV ‒ 6966,  artillery systems – 2659 (+6),  MLRS – 526 (+1),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 277, aircraft – 306 (+1),  helicopters – 291,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2239…

March 29, 2023 Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (29 March 2023)  ️ In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army Aviation and artillery fire of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on enemy manpower and equipment in the areas Sinkovka, Timkovka, Olshana, Kislovka (Kharkov region), and Novoselovskoye and Artemovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). …

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02.2022 to 05.01.2023: personnel ‒ about 109720 (+810) killed, tanks ‒ 3041 (+3), APV ‒ 6108 (+2), artillery systems – 2051 (+12), MLRS – 426 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 215, aircraft – 284 (+1), helicopters – 271 (+1), UAV operational-tactical level – 1844 (+2), cruise…

In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery fire of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on enemy manpower and equipment in the areas of Dvurechoye, Sinkovka, Kislovka (Kharkov region), and Novoselovskoye and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). The enemy has lost up to 65 Ukrainian troops, two motor vehicles, one Polish-made Krab self-propelled…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 27.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 171160 (+610) persons,  tanks ‒ 3595 (+0),  APV ‒ 6953 (+6),  artillery systems – 2638 (+7),  MLRS – 523 (+1),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 277 (+0), aircraft – 305 (+0),  helicopters – 291 (+0),  UAV operational-tactical level – 2216…

Rumors about the dismissal of Russian Eastern Group of Forces (Eastern Military District) Commander Colonel General Rustam Muradov on March 27 generated a muted and cynical response in the Russian information space.The milbloggers claimed that Russian military authorities dismissed Muradov from his position as Eastern Group of Forces commander, but ISW cannot currently verify these…

In Kupyansk direction, the Zapad Group of Forces’ artillery and Army Aviation has hit enemy manpower and armour close to Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Dvurechnaya, Stepovaya Novoselovka, Tabayevka, and Sinkonka (Kharkov region). ️ Up to 70 Ukrainian troops, one armored fighting vehicle, and four pick-up trucks were destroyed. Moreover, an ammunition depot of the 127th…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 26.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 170550 (+660) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3595 (+15), APV ‒ 6947 (+15), artillery systems – 2631 (+8), MLRS – 522 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 277 (+1), aircraft – 305 (+0), helicopters – 291 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, March 26. This report discusses Russian President Vladimir Putin’s continued efforts to seek complete victory in Ukraine, which he appears confident that he can attain over time. Putin seems to reject the idea increasingly prevalent in Western discourse that the current military realities require or support a…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 25.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 169890 (+720) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3580 (+6), APV ‒ 6932 (+11), artillery systems – 2623 (+7), MLRS – 520 (+9), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 276 (+0), aircraft – 305 (+0), helicopters – 291 (+1), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian President Vladimir Putin launched the predictable next information operation to discourage Ukrainian resistance and disrupt Western support for Ukraine as Russian offensives culminate and Ukraine prepares to launch counter-offensives in an interview with a state-owned Russian news channel on March 25.[1] Putin claimed that the West cannot sustain weapons provisions to Ukraine and exaggerated…

In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Artyomovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Dvurechnaya and Berestovoye (Kharkov region).  The enemy’s losses in this direction during the day amounted to 70 Ukrainian troops, one infantry fighting vehicle, two pickup trucks, one…

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin has softened his rhetoric towards the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) likely out fear of completely losing his mercenary force in Bakhmut. Prigozhin emphasized his concerns about a possible Ukrainian counteroffensive in eastern Ukraine during a 23-minute interview on March 23. Prigozhin claimed that Ukraine has 200,000 reserves concentrating to…

In Kupyansk direction, artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces engaged the enemy units close to Dvurechnaya, Sinkovka, Olshana, and Kotlyarovka (Kharkov region). More than 50 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, two motor vehicles, and one 2S3 Akatsiya self-propelled howitzer were neutralised. Moreover, an ammunition depot of the 103rd Territorial Defence Brigade was neutralised…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 22.03.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 167490 (+920) persons,  tanks ‒ 3557 (+5),  APV ‒ 6887 (+8),  artillery systems – 2589 (+3),  MLRS – 509 (+2),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 272 (+2), aircraft – 305,  helicopters – 290,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2183 (+16), cruise…

Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be setting conditions to weaponize the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) as a method of Russian power projection in advance of Russia’s accession to the rotating UNSC presidency in April. Russian UN Ambassador Vasily Nebenzya stated during a press conference on March 21 that Russia plans to hold an…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 22.03.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 167490 (+920) persons,  tanks ‒ 3557 (+5),  APV ‒ 6887 (+8),  artillery systems – 2589 (+3),  MLRS – 509 (+2),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 272 (+2), aircraft – 305,  helicopters – 290,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2183 (+16), cruise…

In Kupyansk direction, active actions by units and artillery fire of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on enemy manpower and equipment close to Dvurechnaya, Timkovka (Kharkov region) and Novoselovskoye and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). Up to 80 Ukrainian servicemen, three armored fighting vehicles, and one D-20 howitzer were destroyed. In Krasny Liman…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 21.03.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 166570 (+960) persons,  tanks ‒ 3552 (+15),  APV ‒ 6879 (+10),  artillery systems – 2586 (+9),  MLRS – 507,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 270, aircraft – 305,  helicopters – 290,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2167 (+7), cruise missiles ‒…

Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be setting conditions to weaponize the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) as a method of Russian power projection in advance of Russia’s accession to the rotating UNSC presidency in April. Russian UN Ambassador Vasily Nebenzya stated during a press conference on March 21 that Russia plans to hold an…

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy says that his negotiations with President of the United States Joseph Biden in Kyiv were important and meaningful, and their results will be felt on the battlefield – in strengthening Ukrainian warriors and de-occupying territories. “We have just held talks with Mr. President of the United States in a face-to-face…

In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Dvurechnaya, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Artyomovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ The enemy suffered losses of up to 55 Ukrainian troops, one armoured fighting vehicle, two pick-up trucks, and…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 20.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 165610 (+700) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3537 (+5), APV ‒ 6869 (+16), artillery systems – 2577 (+9), MLRS – 507 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 270 (+2), aircraft – 305 (+0), helicopters – 290 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian forces made marginal gains in and around Bakhmut amid a reported increase in the tempo of Russian operations around Avdiivka. Russian forces likely made additional gains in southwestern and northern Bakhmut as well as northwest of Bakhmut between Bohdanivka and Khromove as of March 20. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on March 19 that…

In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical aviation, artillery, and heavy flamethrower systems of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces have inflicted fire damage on troops of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Dvurechnaya, Timkovka, Olshana (Kharkov region), and Novoselovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). Up to 50 Ukrainian personnel, two armoured fighting vehicles, and two motor vehicles were…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 19.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 164910 (+710) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3532 (+21), APV ‒ 6853 (+23), artillery systems – 2568 (+8), MLRS – 507 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 268 (+3), aircraft – 305 (+0), helicopters – 290 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, March 19. This report discusses growing Russian concern about a prospective Ukrainian counteroffensive near Bakhmut or in southern Ukraine, and Russian efforts to prepare mitigations for these claimed efforts. The tempo of Russian offensive operations across the theater has slowed in recent weeks, suggesting that the Russian…

In Kupyansk direction, artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on the enemy close to Dvurechnaya, Sinkovka, Kotlyarovka (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). Up to 60 Ukrainian troops and three motor vehicles have been neutralised. ️ In Krasny Liman direction, Operational-Tactical aviation, artillery, and heavy flamethrower systems of the ‘Tsentr’…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 18.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 164200 (+880) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3511 (+5), APV ‒ 6830 (+7), artillery systems – 2560 (+8), MLRS – 506 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 265 (+0), aircraft – 305 (+0), helicopters – 290 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian forces targeted Ukraine with 16 Shahed-136 drones overnight on March 17-18. Ukrainian Air Force Spokesperson Yuriy Ihnat stated that Ukrainian forces shot down 11 of the 16 drones and noted that it is difficult for Ukrainian mobile fire groups to shoot down drones at night due to the lack of visibility. The drones targeted…

The enemy suffered losses of over 40 Ukrainian servicemen, one armoured fighting vehicle, two vehicles, and one ammunition depot of the 113th Territorial Defence Brigade. In Krasny Liman direction, units of the ‘Tsentr’ Group of Forces, aviation, artillery inflicted fire damage on enemy manpower and hardware close to Terny and Yampolovka (Donetsk People’s Republic). More…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 17.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 163320 (+760) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3506 (+2), APV ‒ 6823 (+13), artillery systems – 2552 (+13), MLRS – 504 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 265 (+0), aircraft – 305 (+0), helicopters – 290 (+1), UAV operational-tactical level…

Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin during a state visit to Russia from March 20 to 22 likely to discuss sanctions evasion schemes and Chinese interest in mediating a negotiated settlement to the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin stated that Putin and Xi plan to sign unspecified bilateral documents and…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Ground-Assault and Army Aviation and the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower and hardware near Grianikovka, Kotlyarovka, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye and Rozovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). Up to 50 Ukrainian personnel, 2 motor vehicles, and  1 U.S.-manufactured…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 16.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 162560 (+1040) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3504 (+12), APV ‒ 6810 (+11), artillery systems – 2539 (+11), MLRS – 503 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 265 (+3), aircraft – 305 (+1), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

The Russian Federal State Security Service (FSB) appears to be trying to penetrate the Russian Defense Industrial Base (DIB) in a way that is reminiscent of the KGB’s involvement with the Soviet military establishment. Spokesperson for the Ukrainian Center for the Research of Trophy and Prospective Weapons and Military Equipment of the Ukrainian General Staff…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Ground-Assault and Army aviation, as well as artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of AFU manpower and hardware near Grianikovka, Styopovaya Novosyolovka and Timkovka (Kharkov region). The enemy losses were up to 70 servicemen, 1 armoured fighting vehicle, 3 pickup trucks, 2…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 15.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 161520 (+980) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3492 (+8), APV ‒ 6799 (+10), artillery systems – 2528 (+9), MLRS – 502 (+7), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 262 (+2), aircraft – 304 (+0), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

The overall pace of Russian operations in Ukraine appears to have decreased compared to previous weeks. A spokesperson for the Ukrainian Joint Press Center of the Tavriisk Defense Forces, Colonel Oleksiy Dmytrashkivskyi, stated on March 15 that Russian offensive actions have decreased significantly over the last week and noted that daily Russian ground attacks have…

In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Sinkova and Kislovka (Kharkov region). The enemy has suffered losses of up to 75 Ukrainian servicemen, one infantry fighting vehicle, three motor vehicles, four Gvozdika self-propelled howitzers, and one MT-12…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 14.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 160540 (+740) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3484 (+10), APV ‒ 6789 (+15), artillery systems – 2519 (+16), MLRS – 495 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 260 (+1) од, aircraft – 304 (+0), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical…

Prominent Russian milbloggers are reamplifying a longstanding Russian information operation that seeks to weaponize religion to discredit Ukraine. The Ukrainian Ministry of Culture issued a decision on March 9 stipulating that the Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra Reserve will terminate its lease agreement with the Kremlin-affiliated Ukrainian Orthodox Church Moscow Patriarchate (UOC MP), meaning that the UOC MP…

In Kupyansk direction, units and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Masyutovka, Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region), Stelmakhovka and Rozovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️Over 60 Ukrainian servicemen and two motor vehicles were eliminated. In Krasny Liman direction, artillery of the ‘Tsentr’…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 13.03.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 159800 (+710) persons,  tanks ‒ 3474 (+8),  APV ‒ 6774 (+5),  artillery systems – 2503 (+16),  MLRS – 493,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 259, aircraft – 304,  helicopters – 289,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2109 (+1), cruise missiles ‒…

A member of the Kremlin-affiliated Valdai Discussion Club accused Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin of pursuing political objectives in Russia that are endangering Wagner forces in Bakhmut. Russian political scientist Aleksey Mukhin—who contributes to the Valdai Discussion Club and Russian state media—commented on Prigozhin’s March 11 sarcastic announcement that he will be running in Ukrainian presidential…

In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Dvurechnaya and Timkovka (Kharkov region). The enemy’s losses in this direction amounted to 55 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, and two motor vehicles. ️ In Krasny Liman direction, Ground-Attack and…

In Kupyansk direction, the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces has hit the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Masyutovka, Dvurechnaya, Pershotravnevoye (Kharkov region) and Novoselovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ In addition, five sabotage and reconnaissance groups were neutralised near Stelmakhivka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Sinkovka, Liman Pervy, and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). ️ The…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 12.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 159090 (+1090) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3466 (+8), APV ‒ 6769 (+7), artillery systems – 2487 (+4), MLRS – 493 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 259 (+2), aircraft – 304 (+0), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, March 12. This report establishes a comprehensive timeline of the rivalry between Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD), which likely reached a boiling point over Bakhmut. The report also analyzes the Russian MoD’s likely intent to expend Wagner forces in Bakhmut…

On March 5, Ukraine marked another anniversary of the death of Nazi collaborator Roman Shukhevich. To mark the occasion, a group of nationalists got together in the village of Belogorshcha outside Lvov where Shukhevich was killed by Soviet security forces. They chanted under the flag of the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA) and even held a…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by the aviation and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Gryanikovka (Kharkov region) and Rozovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). The enemy has lost up to 50 Ukrainian personnel, 5 armoured fighting vehicles, 3…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 11.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 158000 (+1010) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3458 (+10), APV ‒ 6762 (+20), artillery systems – 2483 (+8), MLRS – 493 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 257 (+1), aircraft – 304 (+0), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian forces did not make any confirmed advances within Bakhmut on March 11. Ukrainian and Russian sources continue to report heavy fighting in the city, but Wagner Group fighters are likely becoming increasingly pinned in urban areas, such as the AZOM industrial complex, and are therefore finding it difficult to make significant advances. ISW will…

In Kupyansk direction, the Zapad Group of Forces’ artillery has hit enemy manpower close to Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Gryanikovka, Sinkovka, and Timkovka (Kharkov region). Up to 40 Ukrainian military and two motor vehicles were hit in this direction over the past 24 hours. In Krasny Liman direction, Missile Troops and Artillery of the ‘Tsentr’…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 10.03.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 156990 (+870) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3448 (+7), APV ‒ 6742 (+6), artillery systems – 2475 (+10), MLRS – 491 (+3), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 256 (+2),aircraft – 304 (+1), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2107 (+9),cruise missiles ‒ 907 (+34),warships / boats…

US intelligence warned that individuals with ties to Russian intelligence may be planning to attempt to instigate an insurrection in Moldova. CNN reported on March 10 that White House officials believe that Russian intelligence-linked individuals are planning to stage protests against the Moldovan government with the intent of fomenting a “manufactured insurrection” to install a…

In response to the terrorist acts in the Bryansk region organised by the Kiev regime on 2 March this year, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation carried out a massive retaliatory strike. High-precision, long-range air-, sea- and land-based weapons, including the Kinzhal hypersonic missile system, hit key elements of Ukraine’s military infrastructure, defence and…

US intelligence warned that individuals with ties to Russian intelligence may be planning to attempt to instigate an insurrection in Moldova. CNN reported on March 10 that White House officials believe that Russian intelligence-linked individuals are planning to stage protests against the Moldovan government with the intent of fomenting a “manufactured insurrection” to install a pro-Russian administration…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Ground-Attack and Army aviation, and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in neutralisation of the enemy manpower and hardware near Berestovoye, Sinkovka and Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region) and Rozovka (Lugansk People’s Republic).  In addition, the actions of 10 AFU sabotage and reconnaissance groups have been suppressed…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 08.03.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 155530 (+700) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3436 (+4), APV ‒ 6723 (+9), artillery systems – 2463 (+7), MLRS – 488 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 253 (+0),aircraft – 303 (+0), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2098 (+3),cruise missiles ‒ 873 (+0),warships / boats…

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin announced on March 8 that Russian forces captured all of eastern Bakhmut, a claim consistent with available visual evidence.[1] ISW assessed on March 7 that Ukrainian forces completed a controlled withdrawal from eastern Bakhmut across the Bakhmutka River.[2] A prominent Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces control between 45 to…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Army Aviation and the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower and hardware near Grianikovka, Peschanoye, Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka and Rozovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). 1 tank, 1 Polish-manufactured Krab self-propelled artillery system, 1 Akatsia self-propelled howitzer and…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 07.03.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 154830 (+1060) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3432 (+9), APV ‒ 6714 (+11), artillery systems – 2456 (+23), MLRS – 488 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 253 (+3),aircraft – 303 (+1), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2095 (+9),cruise missiles ‒ 873 (+0),warships / boats…

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on March 7 that the hypothetical Russian capture of Bakhmut would provide Russian forces an “open road” to Kramatorsk, Slovyansk, and other critical settlements in Donetsk Oblast.[1] ISW continues to assess, however, that Russian forces lack the capability to exploit the tactical capture of Bakhmut to generate operational effects, and…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Ground-Attack and Army aviation, as well as the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy units near Timkovka (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ Up to 45 Ukrainian personnel, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, and 3 pickups have been…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 06.03.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 153770 (+650) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3423 (+9), APV ‒ 6703 (+11), artillery systems – 2433 (+7), MLRS – 488 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 250 (+2),aircraft – 302 (+0), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 2086 (+15),cruise missiles ‒ 873 (+0),warships / boats…

Ukrainian authorities indicated that Ukraine will continue to defend Bakhmut for now. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated at the end of the day on March 6 that he has ordered reinforcements to Bakhmut.[1] This announcement follows Zelensky’s March 6 meeting with Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi and Commander of Ukrainian Ground Forces Colonel General Oleksandr…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Army Aviation and the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the elimination of up to 40 Ukrainian personnel, 1 armoured fighting vehicle, as well as 3 motor vehicles near Gryanikovka and Masyutovka (Kharkov region). In Krasny Liman direction, the attacks, launched by Operational-Tactical and…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 05.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 153120 (+930) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3414 (+5), APV ‒ 6692 (+9), artillery systems – 2426 (+12), MLRS – 488 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 248 (+1), aircraft – 302 (+0), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, March 5. This report analyzes the ongoing Battle for Bakhmut and Russian prospects for further offensive efforts. Ukrainian forces may be conducting a limited fighting withdrawal in eastern Bakhmut and are continuing to inflict high casualties against the advancing mixed Russian forces. Russian milbloggers have also lowered…

In Kupyansk direction, the active action of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, supported by Army Aviation and artillery, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower and hardware near Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Gryanikovka, Timkovka, and Tabayevka (Kharkov region). ️ Over 90 Ukrainian personnel, 1 tank, and 6 motor vehicles have been eliminated. In…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 04.03.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 152190 (+820) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3409 (+4), APV ‒ 6683 (+10), artillery systems – 2414 (+12), MLRS – 487 (+3), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 247 (+0), aircraft – 302 (+1), helicopters – 289 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian forces appear to have secured a sufficient positional advantage to conduct a turning movement against certain parts of Bakhmut but have not yet forced Ukrainian forces to withdraw and will likely not be able to encircle the city soon. Russian forces made one limited confirmed advance near Bakhmut on March 4. As ISW reported…

In Kupyansk direction, the active operations, conducted by the units of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, supported artillery, have resulted in the neutralisation of the AFU manpower and hardware near Kurilovka, Pershotravnyovoye, Masutovka (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). The enemy losses were over 100 Ukrainian servicemen killed and wounded, 1 tank, 3 infantry…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 03.03.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 151370 (+765) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3405 (+8), APV ‒ 6673 (+15), artillery systems – 2402 (+4), MLRS – 484 (+4), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 247 (+0),aircraft – 301 (+1), helicopters – 289 (+1), UAV operational-tactical level – 2061 (+3),cruise missiles ‒ 873 (+0),warships / boats…

Ukrainian forces appear to be setting conditions for a controlled fighting withdrawal from parts of Bakhmut. Russian forces have been fighting to take Bakhmut, a city with a pre-war population of roughly 70,000 people, since roughly May 2022 and have suffered devastating casualties in the process. Geolocated footage posted on March 3 confirms that Ukrainian…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by the Army Aviation, artillery and heavy flamethrower systems of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in neutralisation of the enemy units near Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Masyutovka and Olshana (Kharkov region).   Over to 50 Ukrainian servicemen and 2 motor vehicles have been eliminated. In addition, 1 munition…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 02.03.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 150605 (+715) persons,  tanks ‒ 3397 (+2),  APV ‒ 6658 (+20),  artillery systems – 2398 (+5),  MLRS – 480 (+1),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 247, aircraft – 300,  helicopters – 288,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2058 (+3), cruise missiles…

The Kremlin accused Ukraine of conducting a border incursion in Bryansk Oblast, Russia on March 2 — a claim that Ukrainian officials denied. Bryansk Oblast Governor Alexander Bogomaz claimed that “several dozen” Ukrainian saboteurs conducted an armed incursion into the villages of Lyubenchane and Sushany on the international border.[1] The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB)…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by the Assault and Army Aviation, artillery and heavy flamethrower systems of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in neutralisation of the enemy units near Dvurechnaya and Sinkovka (Kharkov region).  Three AFU sabotage and reconnaissance groups have been eliminated near Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic) and Timkovka (Kharkov region)….

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 01.03.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 149890 (+650) persons,  tanks ‒ 3395 (+7),  APV ‒ 6638 (+8),  artillery systems – 2393 (+10),  MLRS – 479 (+1),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 247, aircraft – 300,  helicopters – 288,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2055 (+4), cruise missiles…

The Kremlin may leverage an amendment to Russia’s Criminal Code increasing punishments for “discrediting” the war in Ukraine to promote further self-censorship among the critical ultranationalist community, prompting pushback from Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and prominent milbloggers. Chairman of the Russian State Duma Vyacheslav Volodin announced on March 1 that the Duma could ratify…

In Kupyansk direction, the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted fire on enemy manpower and hardware in the areas of Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Dvurechnaya, Gryanikovka, Masyutovka, Olshana, Liman Pervy, and Sinkovka (Kharkov region). More than 70 Ukrainian servicemen, three armoured fighting vehicles, and two motor vehicles have been eliminated in this diretion during the day….

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 27.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 148690 (+560) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3385 (+4), APV ‒ 6621 (+6), artillery systems – 2380 (+0), MLRS – 475 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 247 (+0), aircraft – 300 (+1), helicopters – 288 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian officials are promoting an information operation that falsely frames Russia’s war in Ukraine as existential to the continued existence of the Russian Federation. In an interview with TV channel Rossiya-1 on February 26, Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that he does not know if “such an ethnic group as the Russian people can survive…

In Kupyansk directrion, the attacks, launched by the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy near Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Masiutovka and Kislovka (Kharkov region). In addition, the 6 AFU sabotage and reconnaissance groups have been eliminated near Pershotravnyovoye, Tabayevka, Sinkovka, Yagodnoye and Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region). The…

Good health to you, fellow Ukrainians! Today, we are ending this week with a strong diplomatic event – for the first time in 32 years, a high-level delegation from Saudi Arabia visited Ukraine. This is yet another sign of respect for Ukraine, for our invincibility and strength. Respect of the world. Monday – the leader…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 26.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 148130 (+660) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3381 (+6), APV ‒ 6615 (+6), artillery systems – 2380 (+7), MLRS – 475 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 247 (+0), aircraft – 299 (+0), helicopters – 288 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Tonight’s abbreviated campaign update focuses on Russian President Vladimir Putin’s attempt to avoid ordering involuntary mobilization by launching a series of irregular volunteer force generation campaigns since late May 2022 and the consequences of that attempt. Putin sought to satisfy the requirement for replacements following Russian defeats around Kyiv by conducting a voluntary recruitment campaign…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Army Aviation and the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy units near Masyutovka, Ivanovka (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). The AFU suffered losses of up to 60 servicemen, three pickup trucks, one U.S.-manufactured M777 artillery system and…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 25.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 147470 (+650) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3375 (+12), APV ‒ 6609 (+9), artillery systems – 2373 (+10), MLRS – 475 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 247 (+0), aircraft – 299 (+0), helicopters – 288 (+1), UAV operational-tactical level…

UK, French, and German officials are reportedly preparing a NATO-Ukraine pact that falls far short of the protections Ukraine would receive from NATO membership and appears to reflect a desire to press Ukraine to accept a negotiated settlement on unfavorable terms. The Wall Street Journal reported that the exact provisions of the pact are undecided,…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Army Aviation and the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower and hardware near Dvurechnaya, Krakhmalnoye, and Tabayevka (Kharkov region). ️ Over 60 Ukrainian personnel, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, 4 motor vehicles, 1 Gvozdika self-propelled howitzer, and 1 D-20…

Great People of Great Ukraine! A year ago, on this day, from this very place, at about seven in the morning, I addressed you with a short statement. It lasted only 67 seconds. It contained the two most important things, then and now. That Russia started a full-scale war against us. And that we are…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 24.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 146820 (+970) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3363 (+13), APV ‒ 6600 (+7), artillery systems – 2363 (+11), MLRS – 474 (+3), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 247 (+3), aircraft – 299 (+0), helicopters – 287 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

The Kremlin did not comment on the first anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, likely because Russia has failed to achieve any of its stated objectives and has not made significant territorial gains since July 2022. Russian President Vladimir Putin and his administration made no statements relating to the anniversary even…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Army Aviation and the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower near Krakhmalnoye, Peschanoye, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ The enemy has lost up to 55 personnel, 2 pickups, and 1 D-20 howitzer. In Krasny…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 23.02.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 145850 (+790) persons,  tanks ‒ 3350 (+16),  APV ‒ 6593 (+24),  artillery systems – 2352 (+7),  MLRS – 471,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 244 (+1), aircraft – 299,  helicopters – 287,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2029 (+3), cruise missiles…

The Kremlin appears to be setting conditions for false flag operations on the Chernihiv Oblast international border and in Moldova ahead of the one-year anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Ukrainian Northern Operational Command reported on February 23 that Russian forces are preparing possible false flag operations in the international border areas of Chernihiv…

President of Russia Vladimir Putin: Good afternoon, Members of the Federation Assembly – senators, State Duma deputies, Citizens of Russia, This Presidential Address comes, as we all know, at a difficult, watershed period for our country. This is a time of radical, irreversible change in the entire world, of crucial historical events that will determine…

In Kupyansk direction, the artillery operations, and active action of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower near Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Masyutovka (Kharkov region). ️ The operations have resulted in the elimination of over 40 Ukrainian personnel, and 2 pickups. In Krasny Liman direction, the offensive…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 22.02.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 145060 (+620) persons,  tanks ‒ 3334 (+8),  APV ‒ 6569 (+7),  artillery systems – 2345 (+7),  MLRS – 471,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 243, aircraft – 299,  helicopters – 287,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2026 (+3), cruise missiles ‒…

Russian President Vladimir Putin revived his imperialistic narrative that Russia is fighting for Russia’s “historic frontiers” on February 22, a narrative that he had similarly voiced in his speech before the re-invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Putin gave a four-minute speech at the rally for the Defenders of the Fatherland Day in Moscow,…

In Kupyansk direction, the active operations, conducted by the units of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, supported by Army Aviation and artillery, have resulted in the neutralisation of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Tabayevka, Sinkovka (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ Up to 70 Ukrainian personnel, 1 tank,…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 21.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 144440 (+760) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3326 (+10), APV ‒ 6562 (+9), artillery systems – 2338 (+4), MLRS – 471 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 243 (+0), aircraft – 299 (+0), helicopters – 287 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s February 21 address to the Russian Federal Assembly did not articulate specific goals or intentions for the war in Ukraine, instead reinforcing several long-standing rhetorical lines in an effort to buy Putin more space and time for a protracted war. Putin claimed that Russia began the “special military operation” in Ukraine…

In Kupyansk direction, the artillery operations and active action of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower and hardware near Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Masyutovka, and Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region). ️ Up to 50 Ukrainian personnel, 1 tank, and 3 motor vehicles have been eliminated. In Krasny Liman direction,…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 20.02.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 143680 (+820) persons,  tanks ‒ 3316 (+6),  APV ‒ 6553 (+8),  artillery systems – 2334 (+7),  MLRS – 471 (+2),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 243, літаків / aircraft – 299 (+1) од,  гелікоптерів / helicopters – 287 (+0) од, …

US President Joe Biden visited Kyiv on February 20 ahead of the first anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Biden met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and announced that the US will provide an additional $500 million in military assistance to Ukraine, including howitzer shells, anti-tank missiles, air surveillance radars, and other aid. US…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 19.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 142860 (+590) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3310 (+7), APV ‒ 6545 (+12), artillery systems – 2327 (+1), MLRS – 469 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 243 (+0), aircraft – 298 (+0), helicopters – 287 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

High-precision, long-range sea-based missiles hit a deployment point of the 383rd Separate UAV Regiment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near the town of Khmelnitsky and an artillery ammunition depot near the Grechany railway station (Khmelnitsky region). In Kupyansk direction, active actions by units and artillery fire of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted a…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, February 19. This report forecasts the unlikelihood of significantly increased Russian offensive operations this winter based on an assessment of Russian forces already committed to active operations compared with Russia’s overall ground forces order of battle. The major phase of Russian offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast is…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, February 19. This report forecasts the unlikelihood of significantly increased Russian offensive operations this winter based on an assessment of Russian forces already committed to active operations compared with Russia’s overall ground forces order of battle. The major phase of Russian offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast is…

In Kupyansk direction, the offensive operations, conducted by the units of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the entire liberation of Grianikovka (Kharkov region). The attacks, launched by Ground-Attack and Army aviation, as well as the artillery, have resulted in the neutralisation of the manpower and hardware of the Armed Forces of Ukraine…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 18.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 142270 (+1010) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3303 (+5), APV ‒ 6533 (+13), artillery systems – 2326 (+4), MLRS – 469 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 243 (+2), aircraft – 298 (+0), helicopters – 287 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian forces conducted another missile strike attack targeting Ukrainian infrastructure throughout the country. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on February 18 that Russian forces launched 16 missiles targeting civilian infrastructure in Khmelnytskyi City and Ukraiinsk in Donetsk Oblast (about 30km west of Donetsk City). Ukrainian military officials reported that Ukrainian air defense systems shot down…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 17.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 141260 (+800) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3298 (+2), APV ‒ 6520 (+3), artillery systems – 2322 (+16), MLRS – 467 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 241 (+2), aircraft – 298 (+0), helicopters – 287 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

The Kremlin will likely subsume elements of Belarus’ defense industrial base (DIB) as part of Moscow’s larger effort to reequip the Russian military to support a protracted war against Ukraine. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko stated during a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on February 17 that Belarus’ aerospace industry is ready to…

In Kupyansk direction, the active operations, conducted by the units, artillery, Ground-Attack and Army aviation of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower and hardware near Gryanikovka, Liman Pervy, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ Up to 80 Ukrainian personnel, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, and…

In Kupyansk direction, the active operations of the units and artillery, conducted by the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the manpower and military hardware of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Dvurechnaya, Krakhmalnoye, and Olshana (Kharkov region). ️ Up to 65 Ukrainian personnel, 2 armoured…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 16.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ 140460 (+690) persons,  tanks ‒ 3296 (+6),  APV ‒ 6517 (+10),  artillery systems – 2306 (+3),  MLRS – 466 (+0),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 239 (+3), aircraft – 298 (+0),  helicopters – 287 (+1),  UAV operational-tactical level – 2012 (+1),…

Russian forces conducted another missile strike on infrastructure facilities throughout Ukraine on February 16. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces fired 32 air- and sea-launched missiles at Ukraine, including 12 Kh-101/Kh-555 cruise missiles from Tu-95MS aircraft over the Caspian Sea, 8 Kalibr cruise missiles from a Black Sea frigate, 12 Kh-22 cruise missiles…

In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on manpower and military hardware of the 14th Mechanised Brigade and 103rd Territorial Defense Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Dvurechnaya and Kotlyarovka (Kharkov region). In addition, eight sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 15.02.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 139770 (+690) ,  tanks ‒ 3290 (+4),  APV ‒ 6507 (+7),  artillery systems – 2303 (+4),  MLRS – 466,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 236 (+2), aircraft – 298,  helicopters – 286,  UAV operational-tactical level – 2011, cruise missiles ‒…

FULL ARTICLE Russia’s costly military campaign in Ukraine has likely significantly depleted Russian equipment and manpower reserves necessary to sustain a successful large-scale offensive in eastern Ukraine. UK Defense Secretary Ben Wallace told the BBC that the UK had not seen the Russian “massing of a single force to punch through in a big offensive”…

In Kupyansk direction, Ground-Attack and Army aviation and artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on manpower and military hardware of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Novoselovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), as well as Dvurechnaya, Tabayevka, Peschanoye, and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). Up to 70 Ukrainian servicemen, five pickups, three…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 14.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 139080 (+740) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3286 (+3), APV ‒ 6500 (+8), artillery systems – 2299 (+9), MLRS – 466 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 234 (+0), aircraft – 298 (+2), helicopters – 286 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin signaled on February 14 that the Ukraine Defense Contact Group’s 54 member states will continue to support Ukraine in the long run. Austin stated that the Ukraine Defense Contact Group (a coalition of 54 states supporting Ukraine’s defense) will “support Ukraine’s fight for freedom over the long haul” and…

In Kupyansk direction, artillery fire from the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted damage on the AFU units in the areas of Dvurechnaya, Krakhmalnoye, Gryanikovka, Timkovka (Kharkov region), as well as Novoselovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). More than 30 Ukrainian servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, three vehicles, and a D-20 howitzer were destroyed during the day. In…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 13.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 138340 (+560) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3283 (+3), APV ‒ 6492 (+4), artillery systems – 2290 (+3), MLRS – 465 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 234 (+0), aircraft – 296 (+0), helicopters – 286 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

FULL ARTICLE Moscow continues to leverage its relationship with Iran to provide military support for the war in Ukraine. The Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) intercepted audio on February 10 reportedly of two Shahed drone operators coordinating targets in what the GUR claimed was a “Kurdish dialect interspersed with Farsi words.” ISW cannot identify…

In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, as well as the artillery and the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces have neutralised the units of the AFU 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades near Gryanikovka, Dvurechnaya, Pershotravnevoye, Timkovka, Masyutovka and Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region). More than 80 Ukrainian servicemen, 6 motor vehicles and 1 D-20 howitzer have been eliminated….

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 12.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 137780 (+900) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3280 (+13), APV ‒ 6488 (+14), artillery systems – 2287 (+17), MLRS – 465 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 234 (+0), aircraft – 296 (+1), helicopters – 286 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, February 12. This report focuses on the impact of Russian information operations on delaying and deterring Western transfers of high-end weapons systems and other military aid to Ukraine. Russia has partially reconstituted its ability to conduct information operations as part of its hybrid warfare campaigns in support…

On 10 February, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation launched a massive attack, using high-precision long-range air-, sea-, and ground-based armament, as well as unmanned aerial vehicles, against the crucial power facilities that operated Ukraine’s defence industrial complex and transport system. ️ The goals of the massive attack have been reached. ️ All the…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 11.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 136880 (+1140) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3267 (+9), APV ‒ 6474 (+3), artillery systems – 2270 (+19), MLRS – 463 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 234 (+1), aircraft – 295 (+0), helicopters – 286 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Ukrainian military officials and Russian pro-war nationalist voices are downplaying Russia’s ability to launch a sweeping large-scale offensive in Donetsk Oblast in the current circumstances of the Russian Armed Forces. Representative of the Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR), Andriy Chernyak, stated that Russia does not have the resources necessary to launch a large-scale offensive…

…In Kupyansk direction, the offensive operations, conducted by the units of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the entire liberation of Dvurechnoye (Kharkov region). ️ Army Aviation and artillery have neutralised the manpower and hardware of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Gryanikovka, and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). ️…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 10.02.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 135740 (+730) persons,  tanks ‒ 3258 (+3),  APV ‒ 6471 (+3),  artillery systems – 2251 (+7),  MLRS – 463,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 233 (+1), aircraft – 295,  helicopters – 286 (+1),  UAV operational-tactical level – 1970 (+3), cruise…

Russian forces launched another massive series of missile and drone strikes across Ukraine on February 10. Ukrainian military sources reported that Russian forces launched over 100 missiles against critical and civil infrastructure throughout Ukraine including S-300 surface-to-air missiles in ground attack mode and air and sea-based Kh-101/Kh-55 and Kalibr-28 cruise missiles.[1] The Ukrainian General Staff…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Ground-Attack and Army aviation, as well as the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the manpower and hardware of the units from 103rd Territorial Defence Brigade, and 14th Mechanised Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Gryanikovka, Tabayevka, Berestovoye…

I am happy to greet you all personally and to thank you all personally for your support for Ukraine, our people and our aspirations. The aspirations to live freely in a united Europe. I will repeat these words once again: freely and in a united Europe. It may sound routine and familiar somewhere. And somewhere…

personnel ‒ about 135010 (+910) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3255 (+2),  APV ‒ 6468 (+10), artillery systems – 2244 (+8), MLRS – 463 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 232 (+4), aircraft – 295 (+0), helicopters – 285 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 1967 (+6), cruise missiles ‒ 796 (+0), warships / boats ‒ 18…

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin announced on February 9 that the Wagner Group has entirely stopped recruiting prisoners. In a response to a press comment, Prigozhin claimed that Wagner’s recruitment of prisoners has “completely stopped” and that “all obligations are being fulfilled” for those currently under Wagner’s employ.[1] Prigozhin also absurdly claimed that over 10 million Americans…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Ground-Attack and Army aviation, as well as the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the manpower and hardware of the units from 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukrane (AFU) near Olshanka, Pershotravnevoye, Krakhmalnoye, Berestovoye (Kharkov region),…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 08.02.23 were approximately: General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine  Day 350 of the russian full-scale invasion continues.  In an attempt to take full control of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, the adversary continues to focus its main efforts on offensive operations on Kup’yans’k, Lyman,…

Russian forces have regained the initiative in Ukraine and have begun their next major offensive in Luhansk Oblast. The pace of Russian operations along the Svatove-Kreminna line in western Luhansk Oblast has increased markedly over the past week, and Russian sources are widely reporting that conventional Russian troops are attacking Ukrainian defensive lines and making marginal…

In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Ground-Assault and Army aviation, as well as the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the manpower and hardware of the units from 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Ivanovka, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 07.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 133190 (+1030) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3245 (+14), APV ‒ 6443 (+28), artillery systems – 2232 (+1), MLRS – 461 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 227 (+0), aircraft – 294 (+0), helicopters – 284 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu held a press conference on the status of the war on February 7, likely in an attempt to posture the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) as an effective and involved leadership apparatus as the Russian military prepares for a renewed major offensive in Ukraine. Shoigu claimed that Russian forces are successfully…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 06.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 132160 (+870)  persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3231 (+11), APV ‒ 6415 (+10), artillery systems – 2231 (+5),  MLRS – 461 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 227 (+0), aircraft – 294 (+0), helicopters – 284 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

In Kupyansk direction, the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces has neutralised the manpower and hardware of the units from 103rd Territorial Defence Brigade and 14th Mechanised Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Gryanikovka, Sinkovka, Timkovka, Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ Up to 40 Ukrainian personnel, and…

Ukrainian officials assess that Russian forces are preparing to launch a large-scale decisive offensive in eastern Ukraine in mid-to-late February. Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksiy Reznikov stated on February 5 that the Ukrainian military is expecting Russia to start its decisive offensive around February 24 to symbolically tie the attack to the first anniversary of the…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 05.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒  about 131290 (+700) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3220 (+2), APV ‒ 6405 (+11), artillery systems – 2226 (+6), MLRS – 460 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 227 (+2), aircraft – 294 (+0), helicopters – 284 (+0),  UAV operational-tactical level…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, February 5. This report focuses on Russian President Vladimir Putin’s cautious approach to risk-taking after having thrown the dice on launching a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, an act he likely did not see as a risk. Putin’s hesitant wartime decision making demonstrates his…

In Kupyansk direction, the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces has neutralised the units from 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Sinkovka, Ivanovka, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ The operations of 6 AFU sabotage and reconnaissance groups have been prevented near Gryanikovka, Liman…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 04.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 130590 (+720) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3218 (+3), APV ‒ 6394 (+6), artillery systems – 2220 (+5), MLRS – 460 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 225 (+3), aircraft – 294 (+0), helicopters – 284 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova’s answer to a media question on the February 3, 2023, EU-Ukraine Summit in Kiev ​ Question: What would be your comment on the EU-Ukraine Summit that took place in Kiev on February 3 and the joint statement that was issued following the event? Maria Zakharova: The event that took place…

Russian decisive offensive operations are unlikely to target Zaporizhia City from the western Donetsk–Zaporizhia frontline as the Russian military continues to prepare for an offensive in western Luhansk Oblast. Advisor to the exiled Ukrainian mayor of Mariupol, Petro Andryushenko, stated that Russian soldiers in Mariupol are telling residents that the Russian military ordered offensive operations…

The Biden administration announced a new $2.2 billion military aid package to Ukraine on February 3, including precision long-range missiles for HIMARS. The package includes Ground Launched Small Diameter Bombs (GLSDM) that will increase the range of HIMARS to 151km from roughly 80km. The package also includes Javelin anti-armor systems, two HAWK air defense firing…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 03.02.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 129870 (+840) persons were liquidated,tanks ‒ 3215 (+4),APV ‒ 6388 (+6),artillery systems – 2215 (+3),MLRS – 460 (+2),Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 222 (+0),aircraft – 294 (+1),helicopters – 284 (+0),UAV operational-tactical level – 1952 (+1),cruise missiles ‒ 796 (+0),warships / boats…

A Ukrainian intelligence official stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the Russian military to capture Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts by March 2023, supporting ISW’s most likely course of action assessment (MLCOA) for a Russian offensive in eastern Ukraine. Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Representative Andriy Chernyak told the Kyiv Post on February 1…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 02.02.2023 were approximately: Operational information as of 18.00, 02.02.2023  The three hundred and forty-fourth day of the russian large-scale invasion continues. During the day, the enemy launched 2 missile strikes on the civilian infrastructure of the city of Kramatorsk, Donetsk region. As a result, 13…

Justice will be ensured – address by the President of Ukraine Good health to you, fellow Ukrainians! Today is a fruitful day for our country – a fruitful day in confronting those who are trying to weaken Ukraine even now. We will not allow anyone to weaken our state. I thank all law enforcement officials…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 01.02.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 128420 (+920) persons,  tanks ‒ 3209 (+8),  APV ‒ 6382 (+4),  artillery systems – 2207 (+10),  MLRS – 458 (+4),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 221 (+0), aircraft – 293 (+0),  helicopters – 284 (+0),  UAV operational-tactical level – 1951…

Ukrainian officials are continuing to warn about Russia’s intention of conducting a decisive offensive operation in Donbas in February and/or March, supporting ISW’s most likely course of action assessment (MLCOA). Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Representative Andriy Yusov stated on February 1 that Ukraine is on the eve of an active phase of combat…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 01.02.23 were approximately: Day 343 of the full-scale russian military aggression continues.  During the day, the enemy carried out 2x missile strikes (on civilian infrastructure of Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, Donetsk oblast); 2x air strikes and 24x MLRS attacks.  The threat of air and missile strikes…

President of Russia Vladimir Putin: Mr Krasnov, we maintain constant contact and quite often discuss current and potential issues, specific cases, and the work of public prosecution service in general. Still, we have agreed to meet in person. What shall we start with? Prosecutor General Igor Krasnov: Good afternoon, Mr President. Allow me to report…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 31.01.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 127500 (+850) persons, tanks ‒ 3201 (+0), APV ‒ 6378 (+9), artillery systems – 2197 (+1), MLRS – 454 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 221 (+0), aircraft – 293 (+0), helicopters – 284 (+0) од, UAV operational-tactical level –…

FULL ARTICLE The introduction of Russian conventional forces to the Bakhmut frontline has offset the culmination of the Wagner Group’s offensive and retained the initiative for Russian operations around the city. The ISW December 27 forecast that the Russian offensive against Bakhmut was culminating was inaccurate. The Wagner Group offensive culminated, as ISW assessed on…

In Kupyansk direction, artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces hit manpower and hardware of the 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near the settlements of Tymkovka and Krugliakovka (Kharkov region). More than 35 Ukrainian personnel, an armoured fighting vehicle, and two motor vehicles were neutralised. In Krasny Liman…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 30.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 126650 (+490) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3201 (+4), APV ‒ 6369 (+3), artillery systems – 2196 (+1), MLRS – 453 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 221 (+0),  aircraft – 293 (+0), helicopters – 284 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

FULL ARTICLE Western, Ukrainian, and Russian sources continue to indicate that Russia is preparing for an imminent offensive, supporting ISW’s assessment that an offensive in the coming months is the most likely course of action (MLCOA). NATO Secretary Jens Stoltenberg stated on January 30 that there are no indications that Russia is preparing to negotiate…

In Kupyansk direction, assualt and army aviation and artillery inflicted a fire damage on manpower and hardware of 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Sinkovka, Tabayevka (Kharkov region), and Novoselovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). Actions of four sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the AFU have been foiled close…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 29.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 126160 (+650) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3197 (+8), APV ‒ 6366 (+22), artillery systems – 2195 (+7), MLRS – 453 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 221 (+0), aircraft – 293 (+0), helicopters – 284 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Western reluctance to begin supplying Ukraine with higher-end Western weapons systems, particularly tanks, long-range strike systems, and air-defense systems, has limited Ukraine’s ability to initiate and continue large-scale counter-offensive operations. Sound counter-offensive campaign design calls for stopping the enemy’s offensive as rapidly as possible, initiating decisive counter-offensives rapidly after the enemy’s offensive culminates to take…

On 26 January, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation launched a massive missile attack, using high-precision long-range air- and sea-based armament, as well as unmanned aerial vehicles, against the power facilities that operate Ukraine’s defence industrial complex and transport system. The goals of the massive attack have been reached. All the assigned targets have…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 28.01.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 125510 (+800) persons were liquidated,tanks ‒ 3189 (+7),APV ‒ 6344 (+4),artillery systems – 2188 (+8),MLRS – 453 (+1),Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 221 (+0),aircraft – 293 (+1),helicopters – 284 (+1),UAV operational-tactical level – 1947 (+6),cruise missiles ‒ 796 (+0),warships / boats…

FULL ARTICLE Click here to see ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report. Conventional Russian forces are likely replacing exhausted Wagner Group forces to maintain the offensive in Bakhmut after the Wagner Group’s offensive in Bakhmut culminated with the capture of Soledar…

On 26 January, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation launched a massive missile attack, using high-precision long-range air- and sea-based armament, as well as unmanned aerial vehicles, against the power facilities that operate Ukraine’s defence industrial complex and transport system. The goals of the massive attack have been reached. All the assigned targets have…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 27.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 124710 (+850) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3182 (+7), APV ‒ 6340 (+6), artillery systems – 2180 (+11), MLRS – 452 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 221 (+1), aircraft – 292 (+0), helicopters – 283 (+1) , UAV operational-tactical…

FULL ARTICLE Kremlin insiders reportedly told Bloomberg that Russian President Vladimir Putin is preparing a new offensive to regain the initiative that may begin as early as February or March 2023. Russian officials, Kremlin advisors, and other unspecified knowledgeable figures who spoke on condition of anonymity reportedly told Bloomberg that Putin seeks to conduct a…

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (26 January 2023) The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation. In Kupyansk direction, the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on concentration of manpower of 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of…

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02.2022 to 26.01.2023: personnel ‒ about 123860 (+780) killed,  tanks ‒ 3175 (+14),  APV ‒ 6334 (+27),  artillery systems – 2169 (+15),  MLRS – 452 (+2),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220, aircraft – 292 (+2),  helicopters – 282 (+1),  UAV operational-tactical level – 1908 (+6), cruise…

FULL ARTICLE Russian forces launched another massive series of missile and drone strikes across Ukraine on January 26. Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valery Zaluzhnyi stated that Russian forces launched 55 air- and sea-based missiles, including Kh-101, Kh-555, Kh-47, and Kh-95 Kalibr and Kinzhal missiles at Ukraine from Tu-95, Su-35, and MiG-31K aircraft from the waters of…

In Kupyansk direction, Assault, Army Aviation, and artillery of the Western group of forces have neutralised the units from 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Masyutovka, Kupyansk, Gryanikovka (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ The action of 7 AFU sabotage and reconnaissance groups has been prevented…

Today is a day of extremely good news for Ukraine. There is a tank coalition. There is a decision to launch the supply of tanks for our defense. Modern tanks. I started this day with a conversation with Chancellor Scholz, primarily about Leopards for Ukraine. And this is exactly the kind of conversation we expected….

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 25.01.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 123080 (+910) persons were liquidated,tanks ‒ 3161 (+9),APV ‒ 6307 (+23),artillery systems – 2154 (+6),MLRS – 450 (+2),Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220 (+0),aircraft – 290 (+1),helicopters – 281 (+0),UAV operational-tactical level – 1902 (+5),cruise missiles ‒ 749 (+0),warships / boats…

Russian forces may be engaging in limited spoiling attacks across most of the frontline in Ukraine in order to disperse and distract Ukrainian forces and set conditions to launch a decisive offensive operation in Luhansk Oblast. Russian forces have re-initiated offensive operations, namely limited ground attacks, on two main sectors of the front in the…

In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Western MD inflicted a fire damage on the AFU’s 14th Mechanised Brigade and 103rd Territorial Defence Brigade close to Timkovka and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). Over 40 Ukrainian servicemen, an armoured fighting vehicle, and a motor vehicle were eliminated. In Krasny Liman direction, artillery fire of the Central…

Ambassador Anatoly Antonov’s answer to a media question : Dear Anatoly Ivanovich, how could you comment on the “leaks” in the American media about possible shipments of M1 Abrams tanks to Kiev? Anatoly Antonov: Throughout the Ukrainian crisis, the administration repeatedly used the technique of publishing information in the media on the eve of significant…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 24.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 122170 (+690) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3152 (+2), APV ‒ 6284 (+8), artillery systems – 2148 (+2), MLRS – 448 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220 (+0), aircraft – 289 (+2), helicopters – 281 (+4), UAV operational-tactical level…

A coalition of NATO member states reportedly will send Ukraine modern main battle tanks. The Wall Street Journal reported on January 24 that US President Joe Biden is preparing to send “a significant number” of Abrams M1 tanks to Ukraine and that the White House may announce the delivery as soon as January 25.[1] German…

In Kupyansk direction, the artillery of the Western Military District has launched strikes at the concentrations of manpower from 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Dvurechnaya, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ Over 40 Ukrainian personnel, and 1 motor vehicle have been eliminated. In Krasny…

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02.2022 to 20.01.2023: personnel ‒ about 121480 (+720) killed,  tanks ‒ 3150 (+5),  APV ‒ 6276 (+8),  artillery systems – 2146 (+2),  MLRS – 447 (+2),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220, aircraft – 287,  helicopters – 277,  UAV operational-tactical level – 1894 (+2), cruise missiles ‒…

Ukrainian intelligence assessed that Russian forces are preparing for an offensive effort in the spring or early summer of 2023, partially confirming ISW’s standing assessment that Russian troops may undertake a decisive action in the coming months. Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) representative Vadym Skibitsky stated on January 20 that the spring and early summer…

In Kupyansk direction, Ground-Assault and Army Aviation, as well as the artillery of the Western Military District have neutralised the concentrations of manpower of the units from 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Dvurechnaya, Gryanikovka (Kharkov region), Novosyolovskoye, and northern outskirts of Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ Over…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 22.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 120760 (+600) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3145 (+5), APV ‒ 6268 (+12), artillery systems – 2144 (+9), MLRS – 445 (+2), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220 (+0), aircraft – 287 (+0), helicopters – 277 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, January 22. This report focuses on the Kremlin’s recent marginalization of the Wagner Group following the culmination of the drive on Bakhmut and the Kremlin’s return to reliance on conventional forces on the frontlines and the regular Ministry of Defense (MoD) and General Staff apparatus. The report…

In Kupyansk direction, aviation and artillery of the Western Military District (WMD) have hit units of the 103rd Territorial Defence Brigade near Berestovoye (Kharkov region). More than 35 Ukrainian servicemen, 1 armoured fighting vehicle and 2 motor vehicles have been destroyed. In addition, 1 AFU artillery munition warehouse has been destroyed near Olshana (Kharkov region)….

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 21.01.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 120160 (+860) persons were liquidated,tanks ‒ 3140 (+1),APV ‒ 6256 (+15),artillery systems – 2135 (+6),MLRS – 443 (+1),Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220 (+0),aircraft – 287 (+0),helicopters – 277 (+0),UAV operational-tactical level – 1891 (+5),cruise missiles ‒ 749 (+0),warships / boats…

The Ukrainian defense of Bakhmut is likely a strategically sound effort despite its costs for Ukraine. While the costs associated with Ukraine’s continued defense of Bakhmut are significant and likely include opportunity costs related to potential Ukrainian counter-offensive operations elsewhere, Ukraine would also have paid a significant price for allowing Russian troops to take Bakhmut…

In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery of the Western Military District have inflicted fire damage to units of the 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Timkovka, Tabayevka, and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). ◽️ Up to 30 Ukrainian personnel, 1 armoured fighting vehicle, 2 pickups, and 2 howitzers (D-20…

(for full text:  https://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/1848395/) Good afternoon, colleagues. Our tradition has been to meet at the beginning of the new year to discuss the results and events of the past year. 2022 was difficult and even unique to some extent. It reflected deep-rooted trends in geopolitics and the international aspirations of the leading states, which had…

…the tragedy associated with the events in Ukraine indeed unfolded in 2014 after the anti-constitutional anti-state armed coup in Ukraine. As we know, we had to help the Crimeans in this context. Then the events in Donbass followed. In fact, the serious hostilities in Donbass have not stopped since 2014, and they included the use…

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02.2022 to 20.01.2023: personnel ‒ about 119300 (+770) killed,  tanks ‒ 3139 (+3),  APV ‒ 6241 (+6),  artillery systems – 2129 (+7),  MLRS – 442,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220, aircraft – 287,  helicopters – 277,  UAV operational-tactical level – 1886 (+4), cruise missiles ‒ 749,…

Head of the Chechen Republic Ramzan Kadyrov continues to frame Chechen fighters’ involvement in the war in Ukraine on distinctly religious grounds, thereby building out his reputation and the reputation of his power base. Kadyrov responded to the recent list of guidelines for grooming standards in the Russian army and noted that a majority of…

In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery of the Western Military District have neutralised the units from 14th and 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Ivanovka (Kharkov region). ️ Over 30 Ukrainian personnel, 1 armoured fighting vehicle, 2 motor vehicles, and 2 Akatsiya self-propelled howitzers…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 19.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 118530 (+760) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3136 (+6), APV ‒ 6235 (+10), artillery systems – 2122 (+14), MLRS – 442 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220 (+0) од, aircraft – 287 (+0), helicopters – 277 (+1), UAV operational-tactical…

For additional January 19 topline text, please see the full report. Senior Kremlin officials continue holding high-level meetings with Belarusian national leadership – activity that could be setting conditions for a Russian attack against Ukraine from Belarus, although not necessarily and not in the coming weeks. Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu and Belarusian Defense Minister Viktor…

In Kupyansk direction, artillery of the Western Military District has launched strikes at the units from 14th, 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU), and 93rd Territorial Defence Brigade near Dvurechnoye, Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). Over 60 Ukrainian personnel, one armoured personnel carrier, two pickups, two motor vehicles,…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 18.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 117770 (+820) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3130 (+9), APV ‒ 6225 (+10), artillery systems – 2108 (+4), MLRS – 442 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220 (+0), aircraft – 287 (+1), helicopters – 276 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s speech commemorating the Soviet forces’ breaking of the siege of Leningrad illustrated that he remains uncertain about his ability to significantly shape the Russian information space. Putin used his January 18 speech to reiterate standard and longstanding Kremlin rhetoric that falsely maintains that Russia launched the invasion of Ukraine to protect…

In Kupyansk direction, artillery of the Western Military District has launched strikes at the units from 14th, 92nd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU), and 93rd Territorial Defence Brigade near Dvurechnaya, Timkovka, Ivanovka (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ 1 Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance group has been eliminated near Liman…

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02.2022 to 17.01.2023: personnel ‒ about 116950 (+870) killed,  tanks ‒ 3121 (+3),  APV ‒ 6215 (+11),  artillery systems – 2104 (+5),  MLRS – 441 (+3),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220, aircraft – 286,  helicopters – 276,  UAV operational-tactical level – 1872, cruise missiles ‒ 749,…

Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu announced on January 17 that he will implement Russian President Vladimir Putin’s directive to conduct large-scale military reforms between 2023-2026 to expand Russia’s conventional armed forces, likely in preparation for a protracted war in Ukraine and also to set conditions to build a significantly stronger Russian military quickly. Shoigu stated…

In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery of the Western Military District have neutralised the units from 92nd Mechanised Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) and 103rd Territorial Defence Brigade near Sinkovka and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). ️ Over 30 Ukrainian personnel, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, and 3 motor vehicles have been eliminated. In…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 16.01.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 116080 (+790) persons were liquidated,tanks ‒ 3118 (+12),APV ‒ 6204 (+21),artillery systems – 2099 (+5),MLRS – 438 (+1),Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 220 (+1),aircraft – 286 (+0),helicopters – 276 (+0),UAV operational-tactical level – 1872 (+0),cruise missiles ‒ 749 (+0),warships / boats…

The Kremlin continues to publicly challenge Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin’s claims that Wagner Group forces were solely responsible for capturing Soledar, Donetsk Oblast, on January 12. Russian President Vladimir Putin attributed the success on the frontlines to Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) and General Staff plans when responding to a journalist’s question on January…

On 14 January 2023, a missile strike was launched against Ukraine’s military command and control system and associated energy facilities. All designated targets were hit. The objective of the strike has been achieved. In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery of the Western Military District delivered strikes against units of the 14th and 92nd mechanised…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 15.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 115290 (+630) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3106 (+2), APV ‒ 6183 (+10), artillery systems – 2094 (+4), MLRS – 437 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 219 (+0), aircraft – 286 (+0), helicopters – 276 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

FULL ARTICLE ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, January 15. This report focuses on Russia’s likely preparation to conduct a decisive strategic action in 2023 intended to end Ukraine’s string of operational successes and regain the initiative. The Kremlin is belatedly taking personnel mobilization, reorganization, and industrial actions it realistically should have before…

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02.02 to 14.01.03: personnel ‒ about 114660 (+530) killed,  tanks ‒ 3104 (+6),  APV ‒ 6173 (+6),  artillery systems – 2090 (+4),   MLRS – 437,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 219 (+1), aircraft – 286,  helicopters – 276,  UAV operational-tactical level – 1867 (+2), cruise missiles ‒…

In Kupyansk direction, Army Aviation and artillery of the Western Military District have launched strikes at the units from 14th Mechanised Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) and 103rd Territorial Defence Brigade near Pershotravnevoye, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). ️ 2 AFU sabotage and reconnaissance groups have been eliminated near…

FULL ARTICLE Russian forces launched two waves of missile strikes targeting Ukrainian critical infrastructure on January 14. Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces conducted 50 missile and three airstrikes against Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odesa, Kryvyi Rih, Dnipro, Vinnytsya, and unspecified settlements in western Ukraine. Russian missile strikes on Dnipro City damaged an apartment building, killing at…

The establishment of full control of Soledar allows to block the supply routes of Ukrainian forces in the city of Artyomovsk, located to the southwest, as well as to block and to pocket the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) that still remain there. ️ The capture of Soledar became possible due to…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.2022 to 13.01.2023 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 114130 (+740) persons, tanks ‒ 3098 (+4), APV ‒ 6167 (+8), artillery systems – 2086 (+4), MLRS – 437 (+0), anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 218 (+0), aircraft – 286 (+1), helicopters – 276 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level – 1865…

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced on January 13 that Russian forces seized Soledar, Donetsk Oblast, on the evening of January 12. The Russian MoD claimed that Russian forces can now form a “cauldron” around Bakhmut and threaten Ukrainian supply lines running southwest of Soledar that support Ukrainian troops in the city.[1] The Russian…

In Kupyansk direction, Russian forces launched strikes with artillery and Army Aviation at the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Kislovka, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). 5 hostile sabotage and reconnaissance groups have been eliminated near Kislovka, Olshana, Tabayevka, Krakhmalnoye, and Pershotravnevoye (Kharkov region). The enemy has lost over…

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02.2022 to 12.01.2023: personnel ‒ about 113990 (+430) killed,  tanks ‒ 3094, APV ‒ 6159,  artillery systems – 2082 (+4),  MLRS – 437,  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 218 (+1), aircraft – 285,  helicopters – 276 (+1),  UAV operational-tactical level – 1865 (+3), cruise missiles ‒ 723,…

FULL ARTICLE Russian forces’ likely capture of Soledar on January 11 is not an operationally significant development and is unlikely to presage an imminent Russian encirclement of Bakhmut. Geolocated footage posted on January 11 and 12 indicates that Russian forces likely control most if not all of Soledar, and have likely pushed Ukrainian forces out…

In Kupyansk direction, Russian forces have launched artillery strikes at the concentration areas of the manpower from 14th Mechanised Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Timkovka and Ivanovka (Kharkov region). ️ Up to 20 Ukrainian personnel, 1 armoured fighting vehicle, and 4 motor vehicles have been eliminated. In Krasny Liman direction, artillery…

We are holding the first meeting with Government members in 2023. I would like to congratulate you again on this event and wish you success. Quite recently – a couple of days ago or so – we met with the Prime Minister and some colleagues from the Government to discuss the results and our plans…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 11.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 112960 (+490) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3094 (+10), APV ‒ 6159 (+5), artillery systems – 2078 (+5), MLRS – 437 (+3), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 217 (+0), aircraft – 285 (+0), helicopters – 275 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Gerasimov’s appointment as theater commander likely advances two Kremlin efforts: an attempt to improve Russian command and control for a decisive military effort in 2023, and a political move to strengthen the Russian MoD against challenges from the Russian millbloggers and siloviki, such as Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin, who have criticized the Kremlin’s conduct…

In Kupyansk direction, Russian forces have launched artillery strikes at the concentration areas of the manpower from 14th Mechanised Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Timkovka and Ivanovka (Kharkov region). ️ Up to 20 Ukrainian personnel, 1 armoured fighting vehicle, and 4 motor vehicles have been eliminated. In Krasny Liman direction, artillery…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 10.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 112470 (+710) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3084 (+4), APV ‒ 6154 (+7), artillery systems – 2073 (+4), MLRS – 434 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 217 (+0), aircraft – 285 (+0), helicopters – 275 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian media reported on January 10 that Colonel General Aleksandr Lapin, former commander of the Central Military District (CMD) and Russian forces in eastern Kharkiv and northern Donetsk oblasts, has been appointed Chief of Staff of the Russian Ground Forces. Russian outlet URA, citing unidentified Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) sources, reported that Lapin took…

Within the ceasefire, the AFU continued to conduct heavy shelling of residential areas and Russian positions. ️In Kupyansk and Krasniy Liman directions, the AFU has fired 78 artillery and mortar shells. ️In Soledar, Avdeyevka and Maryinka directions, the enemy used large-calibre artillery fire 155 times. ️More than AFU 160 large-calibre shells and 20 multiple-laucnh rockets…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 08.01.23 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 111170 (+430) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 3069 (+3), APV ‒ 6130 (+5), artillery systems – 2065 (+3), MLRS – 431 (+0), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 217 (+0), aircraft – 285 (+0), helicopters – 272 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

ISW is publishing an abbreviated campaign update today, January 8. This report discusses the Russian Ministry of Defense’s (MoD) attempts to claim that Russian forces responded to the December 31 Ukrainian strike on Russian positions in Makiivka; the Russian MoD’s use of a grievance-and-retaliation framework and the resulting creation of negative feedback loops in the…

Citizens of Russia, friends, The year 2022 is drawing to a close. It was a year of difficult but necessary decisions, of important steps towards Russia’s full sovereignty and a powerful consolidation of our society.  It was a year that put many things in their place, and drew a clear line between courage and heroism,…

The combined group of troops (forces) has been observing a ceasefire along the entire line of contact in the area of the special military operation since 12 p.m. (Moscow time) on 6 January. At the same time, the Kiev regime has continued to shell residential areas and Russian positions with artillery over the past 24…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 07.01.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 110740 (+490) persons were liquidated,tanks ‒ 3066 (+2),APV ‒ 6125 (+1),artillery systems – 2062 (+3),MLRS – 431 (+0),Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 217 (+2),aircraft – 285 (+0),helicopters – 272 (+0),UAV operational-tactical level – 1844 (+0),cruise missiles ‒ 723 (+0),warships / boats…

Recent Russian gains in Soledar do not portend an imminent encirclement of Bakhmut, contrary to claims made by Russian sources. Even at the most generous interpretation of Russian milblogger narratives, which claim that Russian forces are fighting on the outskirts of Razdolivka (about 6km northwest of Soledar), Russian forces are still far from being within…

In accordance with the instructions of the President of the Russian Federation and the Minister of Defence of the Russian Federation, a ceasefire regime has been declared in the combined grouping of Russian troops (forces) in the area of the special military operation from 12 p.m. on 6 January 2023 until 12 a.m. on 7…

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02.2022 to 06.01.2023: personnel ‒ about 110250 (+530) killed, tanks ‒ 3064 (+23), APV ‒ 6124 (+16), artillery systems – 2059 (+8), MLRS – 431 (+5), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 215, aircraft – 285 (+1), helicopters – 272 (+1), UAV operational-tactical level – 1844, cruise missiles…

Russian officials and milbloggers largely did not react to the US announcement of more than $3.75 billion in new military assistance to Ukraine, further highlighting that the Kremlin and the Russian information space selectively choose when to portray Western military assistance as an escalation. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced on January 6 that…

In Kupyansk direction, artillery attacks launched by Russian forces at the manpower concentration areas from 14th and 95th mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) have resulted in the elimination of up to 30 Ukrainian personnel, 1 tank, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, and 3 motor vehicles near Kucherovka, Peschanoye (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka…

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s announcement that Russian forces will conduct a 36-hour ceasefire between January 6 and January 7 in observance of Russian Orthodox Christmas is likely an information operation intended to damage Ukraine’s reputation. Putin instructed Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to initiate a ceasefire from 1200 January 6 to 2400 January 7 along…

In Kupyansk direction, over 40 Ukrainian personnel, and 2 motor vehicles have been eliminated near Dvurechnaya, Sinkovka, Kislovka, and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). ️ 1 sabotage and reconnaissance group of the enemy has been eliminated near Liman Perviy (Kharkov region). In Krasniy Liman direction, Russian forces have launched artillery strikes at two assault detachments, manpower and…

Good health to you, fellow Ukrainians! Today we have new and powerful results from our diplomatic marathon. France takes European defense support for Ukraine to a new level, and I thank President Macron for this leadership. We will receive more armored vehicles, in particular wheeled tanks of French production. This is what sends a clear…

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02.2022 to 04.01.2023: personnel ‒ about 108910 (+720) killed, tanks ‒ 3038 (+2), APV ‒ 6106 (+6), artillery systems – 2039 (+6), MLRS – 424, Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 215 (+1), aircraft – 283, helicopters – 270, UAV operational-tactical level – 1842 (+3), cruise missiles ‒…

The Russian milblogger information space continues to seize on official responses to the Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a Russian base in Makiivka to criticize endemic issues in the Russian military apparatus. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) released an official response to the strike on January 4 and attributed it to the “presence and mass…

In Kupyansk direction,over 40 Ukrainian personnel, 3 armoured fighting vehicles, and 3 pickups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) have been eliminated near Sinkovka, Ivanovka, and Berestovoye (Kharkov region). ️ 2AFU sabotage and reconnaissance groups have been eliminated near Novosyolovskoye and Tabayevka (Kharkov region). In Krasniy Liman direction, Russian artillery and heavy flamethrower systems…

personnel ‒ about 108190 (+750) killed, tanks ‒ 3036 (+5), APV ‒ 6100 (+7), artillery systems – 2033 (+6), MLRS – 424 (+1), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 214 (+1), aircraft – 283, helicopters – 270 (+1), UAV operational-tactical level – 1839 (+3), cruise missiles ‒ 723, warships / boats ‒ 16, vehicles and fuel tankers…

Russian President Vladimir Putin approved a series of instructions for Russian agencies and high-level officials on January 2 likely to address criticisms of the Kremlin’s treatment of military personnel and portray the Kremlin as an involved war-time apparatus.[1] These instructions are ostensibly an effort to address grievances voiced by mothers of servicemen during a highly…

Ukrainian air defenses reportedly intercepted all drones from two consecutive nights of Russian drone strike attacks against Ukraine on December 31 – January 2. Ukraine’s air force reported on January 1 that Ukrainian air defense forces shot down all 45 Russian Iranian-made Shahed-136 drones that Russia fired at Ukraine on New Year’s Eve. Ukrainian Air…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 02.01.23 were approximately:

The enemy launched missile and 28 air strikes. It should be noted that the russian occupiers carried out 27 airstrikes against civilian infrastructure using the Shahed-136 UAV. All these drones were shot down. The threat of further air and missile strikes remains on the entire territory of Ukraine. The enemy, losing a lot of manpower,…

Attacks launched by high-precision armament of Russian Aerospace Forces at the provisional bases of the ‘Foreign Legion’ near Markovo, Kramatorsk (Donetsk People’s Republic), as well as near Novoosinovo (Kharkov region) have resulted in the elimination of over 70 foreign mercenaries, more than 100 of them have been wounded. In Kupyansk direction, Russian forces have launched…

Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian groups of forces have neutralised 68 artillery units at their firing positions, manpower and military equipment at 102 areas. 1 mobile airspace observation radar of the AFU has been destroyed near Kamyshevakha (Donetsk People’s Republic). 1 U.S.-manufactured AN/TPQ-50 counterbattery warfare radar has been destroyed near Artyomovsk (Donetsk People’s…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 01.01.23 were approximately:personnel ‒ about 106720 (+760) persons were liquidated,tanks ‒ 3031 (+2),APV ‒ 6084 (+9),artillery systems – 2021 (+5),MLRS – 423 (+0),Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 213 (+0),aircraft – 283 (+0),helicopters – 269 (+0),UAV operational-tactical level – 1792 (+46),cruise missiles ‒ 723 (+12),warships / boats…

The Kremlin is likely attempting to depict Russian President Vladimir Putin as a competent wartime leader and to rehabilitate the image of the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) by publicizing Putin’s meeting with the joint headquarters of the Russian Armed Forces. The Kremlin announced on December 17 that Putin worked at the joint headquarters of…

Dear Ukrainians! I wish you health! The main thing today is energy. During the day, it was possible to restore the electricity supply to almost 6 million Ukrainians. Repair work is ongoing now and has been going on non-stop since yesterday’s terrorist attack. Of course, there is still a lot of work to do to…

Moscow’s envoy in Washington, D.C. recently told Newsweek that, despite the United States’ efforts to assert its global leadership through backing Ukraine in its war with Russia, a new international order is emerging in which the U.S. may stand to lose in the long run if it did not move to adapt. “The Ukrainian crisis…

Russian forces conducted their ninth large-scale missile campaign against critical Ukrainian energy infrastructure on December 16 and carried out one of the largest missile attacks on Kyiv to date. Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valery Zaluzhny stated that Ukrainian air defenses shot down 60 of 76 Russian missiles, of which 72 were cruise missiles of the Kh-101,…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02 to 16.12 were approximately:

MOSCOW, December 16. /TASS/. Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed in a telephone conversation with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi the situation in Ukraine among other topics, the Kremlin press service said Friday. “At Narendra Modi’s request, Vladimir Putin gave principal assessments in the context of Russia’s policy on the Ukrainian issue,” the statement said. The…

Russia may be setting conditions to conduct a new offensive against Ukraine— possibly against Kyiv—in winter 2023. Such an attack is extraordinarily unlikely to succeed.  A Russian attack from Belarus is not imminent at this time. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s objectives in Ukraine have not changed according to Ukrainian officials’ and ISW’s assessments based on…

Russia continues to focus its efforts on conducting offensive actions in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka directions. It is trying to improve the tactical position in the Lymansk direction, and in the Kupyansk and Zaporizhzhya areas. In other directions, the enemy is concentrating its efforts on restraining the actions of units of the Defense Forces of…

In Kupyansk direction, preemptive fire from artillery, heavy rocket launchers and strikes by the army aviation thwarted an attempt by the enemy to attack Russian troops towards Sophiyevka (Lugansk People’s Republic). Up to 35 Ukrainian servicemen, 1 armoured fighting vehicle and 3 pick-up trucks have been eliminated. In Krasniy-Liman direction, an attempt by four AFU…

In Kupyansk direction, as a result of artillery fire, up to 100 Ukrainian servicemen, one armoured personnel carrier, one armoured fighting vehicle and six pickup trucks have been eliminated near Sinkovka, Kotlyarovka, Tabayevka, Berestovoye (Kharkov region) and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic). In Krasniy-Liman direction, artillery fire and active actions by Russian troops thwarted counterattacks by…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02 to 15.12 were approximately:

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s alluded decision to postpone his annual address to the Russian Federation Assembly indicates he remains uncertain of his ability to shape the Russian information space amidst increasing criticism of his conduct of the invasion of Ukraine. The Presidential Address to the Federal Assembly to the Russian State Duma and Federation Council…

In Kupyansk direction, Russian artillery caused fire damage on exposed assembly areas and positions of Ukraine’s Armed Forces, as well as foreign mercenaries. More than 40 Ukrainian personnel and fighters, two armoured fighting vehicles, and four motor vehicles were destroyed. In Krasny Liman direction, Russian artillery and heavy flamethrower systems foiled counterattacks by three assault…

The total combat losses of the Russian forces from 24.02 to 13.12:  personnel ‒ about 95260 (+500) killed,  tanks ‒ 2966,  APV ‒ 5930 (+2),  artillery systems – 1931 (+2),  MLRS – 404 (+7),  Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 211, aircraft – 281,  helicopters – 264,  UAV operational-tactical level – 1617, cruise missiles ‒ 592, warships…

Belarusian forces remain unlikely to attack Ukraine despite a snap Belarusian military readiness check on December 13. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko ordered a snap comprehensive readiness check of the Belarusian military on December 13. The exercise does not appear to be cover for concentrating Belarusian and/or Russian forces near jumping-off positions for an invasion of…

In Kupyansk and Krasny Liman directions, up to 70 Ukrainian servicemen, three armoured combat vehicles, and five vehicles were destroyed as a result of complex fire attacks against the areas where Ukrainian troops and military hardware are concentrated. In Donetsk direction, the Russian troops continued the offensive. As a result of pre-emptive fire, an attempt…

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02 to 13.12 were approximately: personnel ‒ about 95260 (+500) persons were liquidated, tanks ‒ 2966 (+0), APV ‒ 5930 (+2), artillery systems – 1931 (+2), MLRS – 404 (+7), Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 211 (+0), aircraft – 281 (+0), helicopters – 264 (+0), UAV operational-tactical level…

Russian forces are continuing to shape and consolidate their force composition in eastern Ukraine to bolster defenses against ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensives near the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border and support limited offensive efforts in Donetsk Oblast. An independent Ukrainian analytical organization, the Center for Defense Strategies, noted on December 12 that the Russians are centralizing and systematizing…

Russian officials consistently conduct information operations suggesting that Belarusian conventional ground forces might join Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Belarusian leaders including Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko sometimes play along with these information operations. The purpose of these efforts is to pin Ukrainian forces at the Belarusian border to prevent them from reinforcing Ukrainian operations elsewhere in…