
Baltimore Council
on Foreign Affairs

Peculiarities of Russia’s open armed aggression against Ukraine
March 11, 2022 6PM Kyiv time
Main efforts of aggressor are focused on capturing/blocking of Kyiv, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, Kherson, Mariupol and Mykolaiv, advancing towards Kryvyi Rih, Kremenchuk, Zaporizhzhya as well as on establishing (keeping) control over temporary occupied territories districts.
Kremlin has made a provocation (BEL-UKR part of border) for Belarusian Armed Forces involvement into Russian armed aggression against Ukraine. Having done three bomb strikes on positions of Ukrainian Armed Forces in Rivne region, enemy aircraft performed airstrike on border villages of Belarus from Ukrainian airspace.
Aggressor grossly violates international humanitarian right and the Rules of War.
Operational environment
Priority tasks for Russian forces grouping still are destruction of Ukrainian Air Defense system, command posts and operative-tactical aviation of Ukrainian Air Force. For the purpose of striking forces grouping enforcement, Russian command continues formation, training and relocation of designated additional units from all Military Districts, Northern Fleet and Airborne troops.
Making a provocation on BEL-UKR border, enemy is forming the background for deployment of designated Belarusian Armed Forces units on the Ukrainian territory. Enemy is trying to deploy comprehensive support system and augment C2 and AD systems.
Pollisskyi operational zone
Units and subunits of Eastern MD are trying to resume advance towards Kyiv from north western and western direction. At present, we record forces concentration and engineering fortification development of positions in Bucha, Makariv and Ivankiv areas.
Sabotage-reconnaissance groups increased the number of attempts to infiltrate into the capital.
Siverskiy operational zone
Main efforts of units of 90th Tank Division and 2nd CAA of Central MD were directed on the preparation of offense towards Brovary and Boryspil directions. Enemy has taken up defense in Nova Basan, Pisky, Stara Basan of Chernihiv region and Bohdanivka and Tarasivka of Kyiv region.
Chaotic artillery shelling of Chernihiv is going on.
Slobozhanskyi operational zone
Western MD forces’ grouping is being created on the edge of Romny – Konotop.
Enemy has taken control over Trostyanec – Sumy highway, which drives away all obstacles on enemy’s way towards Konotop.
There are 3 “Tochka-U” TMLs discovered in the area of Stanove.
Donetsk operational zone
1st and 2nd Army Corps and 8th CAA of Southern MD units have lost their offensive capabilities and have to regroup.
Russian troops facilitated air-missile strikes and artillery shelling of Mariupol in terms of preparation to resume the offense on the city.
Tavriyskyi operational zone
58th CAA units are staying within the area of concentration in Gulyai Pole, Vasylivka and Orihiv waiting for command to attack the city of Zaporizhzhya. As a part of comprehensive support, enemy delivered an echelon with ammunition from occupied Crimean peninsula. There is a respective field depot deployed on the northern outskirts of Melitopol.
“Rosgvardiya” subunits are spotted to be moving in the area of Novomykolaivka (Kherson region).
Southern Bug operational zone
During advancement of 49th CAA units of Southern MD towards Kryvyi Rih – Nikopol, part of enemy’s forces remained in Beryslav taking up defense.
Azov-Black Seas operational zone
Enemy prepares for missile strikes at the territory of Ukraine. Respective Black Sea Fleet ships are replenishing with “Kaliber” type sea-based cruise missiles.
Terrorist and unlawful occupation activity of Russian armed forces
The enemy continues to terrorize peaceful inhabitants through artillery/missile/air strikes on residential districts, social and critical infrastructure objects. The biggest intensity of air strikes was in cities and villages of Kyiv, Zhytomyr and Chernihiv Oblasts and Mariupol city (Donetsk Oblast).
The enemy is trying to introduce an administrative-police regime in occupied territories of Kherson and Zaporizhia Oblasts: Russian propaganda is spreading (distributing outreach leaflets, hanging “DNR” flags), a system of military commandant’s offices is created (Tokmak city, Melitopol city). In the urban-type village of Kalanchak, Rossguard patrols are searching for pro-Ukrainian citizens, including veterans of the Anti-Terrorist Operation/Joint Forces Operation, ex-employees of Ukrainian law enforcement agencies. Locals are restricted in their movement, curfews are imposed, and Ukrainian citizens are forced to lead the occupied settlements under treat of murder.